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Re: Emails link top Christie aide to GWB lane-closing controversy - [W:77,109]
I think that's the official story of the Republican party but its not the truth. The tea party crew have been beaten back a bit, even publicly with Boehner. The GOP will give lip service and denigrate RINO's here and there but they want a more moderate Republican like Romney to run. Its the same story every election... A lot of Republicans want the most conservative person in the room but the country will not elect them so they have to go with a "RINO" while conservatives moan about it, "if only we elected a real Conservative we'd win". I see no reason why history won't repeat itself, especially after the weakening of the tea party wing.
Ted Cruz is far, far, far too polarizing. He will make a lot of noise, possibly be in 2nd in the polls for a week and be brushed off to the side near the mid to end of the primaries as a joke. I can almost imagine Rand going far but... its really shaky. If he were to moderate himself and sound more reasonable without losing too much of libertarian / tea party appeal he could do it but I have my doubts.
Christie is their best chance by far as long as he can squeak out of this without any damning evidence cropping up. He can fight and win people over in debates with his tough guy no nonsense personality.
I do not think it is the right-wing machine that will even try to spin it away. The right wing do not want Christie as their nominee, they consider him a RINO. The Republican establishment may give him some cover is there is any there, there. But not the right wing. They already blame Christie for him embrace of President Obama during the final days of the election, for Christie trying to help the people of his state in recovering from hurricane Sandy. The right wing will use this against him.
According to RCP, only 18% of all Republicans want him as their nominee in 2016. Most Republicans are looking at Rand Paul or Cruz. Believe me, the right wing wants nothing to do with Christie. They are probably digging for more dirt on him than any Democrat. The right wings fears him more than the Democrats even.
I think that's the official story of the Republican party but its not the truth. The tea party crew have been beaten back a bit, even publicly with Boehner. The GOP will give lip service and denigrate RINO's here and there but they want a more moderate Republican like Romney to run. Its the same story every election... A lot of Republicans want the most conservative person in the room but the country will not elect them so they have to go with a "RINO" while conservatives moan about it, "if only we elected a real Conservative we'd win". I see no reason why history won't repeat itself, especially after the weakening of the tea party wing.
Ted Cruz is far, far, far too polarizing. He will make a lot of noise, possibly be in 2nd in the polls for a week and be brushed off to the side near the mid to end of the primaries as a joke. I can almost imagine Rand going far but... its really shaky. If he were to moderate himself and sound more reasonable without losing too much of libertarian / tea party appeal he could do it but I have my doubts.
Christie is their best chance by far as long as he can squeak out of this without any damning evidence cropping up. He can fight and win people over in debates with his tough guy no nonsense personality.