It is Japan's Airspace. China publishing a map that says "oh, this is ours now" does not actually make it theirs.
Originally Posted by Dittohead not!
If this is a plan, then my bet would be it looks like this:
Originally Posted by Sherman123
Raise tensions to the point where Japan finally shoots down a Chinese UAV. Declare that to be an Act of War, and take some posturing moves. Then declare that you're willing to start talks over the issue, thereby placing Japan in a no-win situation. Either they can refuse, in which case China appears to be de-escalating and Japan looks like the aggressor (which is easy for her to do in that region of the world) thus degrading her ability to form closer defense relationships with the Philippines, Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, et. al., or Japan has to admit the disputed nature of the Senkakus (which - I would bet - would be what China is after).
But I think it is very possible that you are correct that they simply did not anticipate a Combined US-JPN-ROK reaction like they've seen. I wonder if they read too much into our failure to defend red lines in Syria and focus on Iranian negotiations.
Well, outside of the above scenario, yeah, they are in some trouble. The question that I wonder who is asking is what the leaderships self-perceived ability to back down is. If they are - as a growing number thing - in for some serious fiscal pain with their economic readjustment, then it may be that they can't afford to look weak on Restoring the Grand Tradition as well.
But now that they have committed to it so strongly the only options are to retract it, enforce it, or not enforce it. Two of those choices are deeply embarrassing, and one would be catastrophic. I don't know what they were thinking, this is amateur hour at the Politburo.