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Thread: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

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    Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Can you rely on the weather forecast? Maybe not, at least when it comes to global warming predictions over short time periods.

    That’s the upshot of a new study in the journal Nature Climate Change that compared 117 climate predictions made in the 1990's to the actual amount of warming. Out of 117 predictions, the study’s author told FoxNews.com, three were roughly accurate and 114 overestimated the amount of warming. On average, the predictions forecasted two times more global warming than actually occurred.


    Read more: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds | Fox News

    how many times does a science need to be wrong before they lose all creditability?
    114 being wrong out of 117 is a very piss poor record. all the scientist that where wrong need to have their funding pulled and only allow the 3 that where roughly right to continue with their research. just think of all the money that would be saved by not supporting the junk science of the 114 that was wrong
    Last edited by trfjr; 09-12-13 at 04:34 PM.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    They can't get the weather right tomorrow half of the time. Of course a more long range model is going to fall short.


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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by rocket88 View Post
    They can't get the weather right tomorrow half of the time. Of course a more long range model is going to fall short.
    You mean your weather station doesn't give you a 3 degree guarantee? I'd shop around.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by rocket88 View Post
    They can't get the weather right tomorrow half of the time. Of course a more long range model is going to fall short.
    so why are they wasting all that money attempting to do so and then report their inaccurate finding as it was the gospel as billions get spent to try to curve what they falsely predict will happen

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by trfjr View Post
    Read more: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds | Fox News

    how many times does a science need to be wrong before they lose all creditability?
    114 being wrong out of 117 is a very piss poor record. all the scientist that where wrong need to have their funding pulled and only allow the 3 that where roughly right to continue with their research. just think of all the money that would be saved by not supporting the junk science of the 114 that was wrong
    Just further proof this whole hoax is politically charged.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by trfjr View Post
    Read more: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds | Fox News

    how many times does a science need to be wrong before they lose all creditability?
    114 being wrong out of 117 is a very piss poor record. all the scientist that where wrong need to have their funding pulled and only allow the 3 that where roughly right to continue with their research. just think of all the money that would be saved by not supporting the junk science of the 114 that was wrong
    There's a headline I thought I'd never see. But then it's Fox News. Let's see if anyone else picks it up.

    Looks like the embargo that kept skeptical papers from being published is breaking open. In this case the conclusion is irrefutable. There's no question that the models are missing badly. Ignoring that fact is just harming the credibility of the whole field.

    "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule." --HL Mencken

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by LowDown View Post
    There's a headline I thought I'd never see. But then it's Fox News. Let's see if anyone else picks it up.

    Looks like the embargo that kept skeptical papers from being published is breaking open. In this case the conclusion is irrefutable. There's no question that the models are missing badly. Ignoring that fact is just harming the credibility of the whole field.
    So does this mean Conservatives don't 'hate' science any longer? ;

    That was getting so old.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by trfjr View Post
    Read more: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds | Fox News

    how many times does a science need to be wrong before they lose all creditability?
    114 being wrong out of 117 is a very piss poor record. all the scientist that where wrong need to have their funding pulled and only allow the 3 that where roughly right to continue with their research. just think of all the money that would be saved by not supporting the junk science of the 114 that was wrong
    Because all of them used assumptions about future solar activity that turned out to be incorrect. The sun dipped in output.
    He touched her over her bra and underpants, she says, and guided her hand to touch him over his underwear
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    We’ll say what? Something like “nothing happened” ... Yeah, we might say something like that.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by trfjr View Post
    so why are they wasting all that money attempting to do so and then report their inaccurate finding as it was the gospel as billions get spent to try to curve what they falsely predict will happen
    Because the negative effects of climate change, if on the extreme end, are devastating and will impoverish and kill millions of people and deracinate our economy.

    Given the terrible nature of the risk, wise people act prudently to avoid it, even if the risk itself isn't certain.

    It goes without saying that tea party knownothings aren't wise.
    Last edited by head of joaquin; 09-12-13 at 05:35 PM.

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    Re: Climate models wildly overestimated global warming, study finds

    Quote Originally Posted by LowDown View Post
    There's a headline I thought I'd never see. But then it's Fox News. Let's see if anyone else picks it up.

    Looks like the embargo that kept skeptical papers from being published is breaking open. In this case the conclusion is irrefutable. There's no question that the models are missing badly. Ignoring that fact is just harming the credibility of the whole field.
    The part you people refuse to even think about is why the models turned out to be incorrect. To you, temperatures falling outside of the model range disproves AGW in of itself. This, of course, is based on fundamental misunderstandings about how climate models work and what their purpose is.
    He touched her over her bra and underpants, she says, and guided her hand to touch him over his underwear
    Quote Originally Posted by Lutherf View Post
    We’ll say what? Something like “nothing happened” ... Yeah, we might say something like that.

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