or I would say "based on the observed changes in the variables that influence temperatures, this is not the expected result! how interesting!"
For example, if solar output continues to dip like it did with this last cycle, you'd expect temperatures to remain flatter than they were before.
One of you will end up here next!
Obviously the earth is getting warmer. Your entire explanation, as far as I can gather is that you believe that we're in a natural warming period. But this isn't scientific reasoning. It's what's left after you ignore any possibility that mankind has effected the climate. That's a dogmatic belief, not a rational one.
Lets assume that you were correct. Say that increased solar energy was responsible at least in part for the warming. We'd expect that this increase would also increase pan evaporation rates. (That's the amount of water that evaporates naturally from a pan. Farmers have used and recorded it for a long time to determine how much water their crops need).
But, over the last 50 years, we see a steady decline in pan evaporation. This would indicate global radiative dimming as well as an accelerating hydrologic cycle. Basically, the sun is getting dimmer, and the earth is getting warmer.
Shoot. It didn't affect the U.S. which has been cooling for the past 10 years. I'm still hoping to plant those palm trees in my back yard.
In terms of cyclone energy http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_running_ace.png
Or cyclone frequency http://policlimate.com/tropical/frequency_12months.png
Or hurricane frequency http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_major_freq.png
Or frequency of strong tornadoes in the US http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/c...im/EF3-EF5.png
Or world wide precipitation: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ima...on-figure2.gif
Or days with or without precipitation in the US: http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/c...-step5.ytd.gif
And so on.
I have no doubt that there are a few indices of severe weather that have gone up, but I question whether this is typical of the recent climate overall.
Yes, you'd expect that if we are actually in the middle of a warming trend, which we are, assuming that warming picks up again after this hiatus that has been going on for ~15 years now. The issues in question, though, are what is causing the warming and what can be done about it. As to the latter issue the answer is most likely "nothing".Those ten years also continued an extended period of accelerating global warming, with more national temperature records reported broken than in any previous decade. Sea levels rose about twice as fast as the trend in the last century.
“We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to inquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert”. – J Robert Oppenheimer.