@Boo Radley:
Sorry for not getting back to you earlier. It's been busy here.
At first blush we might dismiss Obama's as the usual fate of a moderate, appearing like "a big-government liberal" to Righties and as having "succumbed to the corporate influence" to Lefties. This is similar to the decline in the fortunes of CNN and of the Liberal parties in Canada, Australia and Britain: the centre gets squeezed out by the extremes. (It also explains why there will never be a viable third party in the U.S. until preferential voting or run-off elections are instituted...but I digress.)
Actually, I meant what I said. I trust we agree that anyone who thinks Obama is prone to impulsive errors needs only ask poli-sci students about his 2008 campaigns. Pick an issue. Seriously. Any issue. Obama's decision to support same sex marriage? Dems who wondered why it took so long can look at the list of things he'd done previously and ask how they missed so many signs:
eQualityGiving - Accomplishments by the Administration and Congress on LGBT Equality
Note the predictable timing, too: rather than dodge a festering controversy Obama gets it out of the way early by "hanging a lantern on it", as he did in 2008 with Ayers, Wright and his father.
Universal health care? Watch how this plays out, starting with the ACA opening gambit.
Now consider any or all of the other initiatives that the Left is demanding from Obama. If he had attempted a quarter of these--even if they weren't doomed due to the obstructionist Congress--in his first term do you think there would be a second? Some think 2012 will be close enough as it is! No one understands the politics of the possible better than Obama.
For his supporters, the second term is the payoff. The voters' decision to TP Congress a week after Hallowe'en, 2010, will have made its point. The RepTealian party will have failed in its singular, stated goal of unseating Obama and will fade into footnote. Its remnants will then have to turn their attention to {gasp!} serving their constituents and country. Statements by Jeb Bush and others are already presaging a Thermidorian reaction among Republicans. As for Obama's supporters, are they patient enough to let the 22nd Amendment play out? Do they understand that it takes 16 continuous years to change a nation's course fundamentally? For examples, see Reagan/Bush and the statesman with whom Obama has so much in common it's spooky:
Commercial Poetry: The Politics of Coincidence
Because it is like reviewing a movie in progress, Obama's far-seeing approach doesn't have long coattails. For example, compare the success of Obama's endorsements to those of Bill Clinton. If Democrats want four contiguous terms they may need to rely on a 69-year-old Hillary in 2016; right now, they lack the Republicans' bench strength (e.g. Jeb, Christie, Martinez, et cetera).
Thanks for your interest, Boo.
HTH,
Pirvaya
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