I think there are two things to keep in mind:
1. The economy is awful, and chances are it isn't going to get any better in the next year. In fact, if the eurozone undergoes a full-fledged meltdown it will undoubtedly send the US back into recession. This will surely harm Obama's chances of being reelected.
2. Despite the dismal state of the economy, Obama is actually holding up surprisingly well. Although approval ratings in the low-40s are not good, Obama seems to at least be holding his own in most head-to-head polls against the likely Republican nominees. I point this out not because I think the polls themselves are especially relevant at this stage in the election cycle, but merely because voters don't seem to be blaming Obama for the state of the economy...at least not as much as they could be.
As to whether or not he'll get reelected, I really have no idea. I would say the odds are slightly, although not overwhelmingly, in the Republican candidate's favor. A lot can happen in a year. Keep in mind that Obama's approval rating was only about 5 points higher than it is now, when people were talking last winter about how he was practically assured reelection.
Are you coming to bed?
I can't. This is important.
Someone is WRONG on the internet! -XKCD
AUSTAN GOOLSBEE: I think the world vests too much power, certainly in the president, probably in Washington in general for its influence on the economy, because most all of the economy has nothing to do with the government.
They got roads named after him in most of them places.
Last edited by dixiesolutions; 10-04-11 at 05:22 PM.
It doesn't matter who wins the election, the candidate will just continue the gong show in the White House. I don't know why people even bother fighting over which candidate is better anymore. They're all elites that have been appointed by the aristocrats and plutocrats for us to choose from. No one makes it to the Presidential race without their approval first.
Our country needs action of the People. The office of the President is ineffective.
Obama, Rommey... America like in relationships tend to fall in love with different versions of the same person over and over again. XD
Last edited by jamesrage; 10-04-11 at 07:29 PM.
"A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murder is less to fear"
Cicero Marcus Tullius