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Employers add no net jobs in Aug.; rate unchanged

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It is true that I'm not an expert in Economics. However common sense goes a long way. As I said I don't consider any of the loans "long term" but they were long enough to get these business back on their feet, through the efforts of the FED. The FED helped most of them succeed by accepting their junk.

Now none of these loans were long term and does 16 trillion translate to 3 trillion when considered like an auto loan? Probably, I'm not sure the way they rolled the PDCF loans over daily. What type of term are you trying to translate them into? So approach the term as you will, unless the investigators are lying (the FED agreed with the conclusions) there was 16 trillion in various terms, providing different benefits.


You state that you "It is true that I'm not an expert in Economics. "Well...who you're debating is.I remember when i first arriveed at DP i was in over my head arguing economic with someone,who shall ramain unnamed since banned.Turns out he worked at the Fed.For what its worth goldenboy isn't a winger either.Just my 2c worth.:2wave:
 
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I take issue with the way the came up with $16 trillion, because in reality, it should have been closer to $40 trillion if we applied the same counting techniques across all lending facilities. Why did the GAO chose to go this route? Beats me, but at least they had the intellectual honesty to to put the loans into a proper context.

All in all, the Fed lent out about $1.39 trillion, and it was in no way "secret".

The real question is, do you understand why?

Number one: Is it the job of the FED to bailout these gamblers (criminals)? Congress and the President all ready had a bailout.

Number 2 secrecy:
Was it above board that the public knew it was going on? Did Congress know? Why didn't the FED want revelations from investigations that would cause the public to lose faith in them? Why was the decision made for a one time investigation? Why did the FED agree that they need to improve their practices? Why wouldn't the FED want citizens to know the quality of the junk backing these loans?
 
The job of the Fed is to keep the financial system from collapsing, which they did.
 
You state that you "It is true that I'm not an expert in Economics. "Well...who you're debating is.I remember when i first arriveed at DP i was in over my head arguing economic with someone,who shall ramain unnamed since banned.Turns out he worked at the Fed.For what its worth goldenboy isn't a winger either.Just my 2c worth.:2wave:

An expert in economics should be able to address concerns when they tell you a GAO report is a lie. I can research and find truth and truth is what counts. I won't back down when I find a GAO report that states reality. If GB wanted to say hey ... term makes the effective rate of the loans around a trillion for one year ... fine ... that's not the approach that was used. I was told it wasn't a bailout after being told it was a conspiracy.

So if I borrow a million for a million years ... using his rational I borrowed one dollar. I could accept an effective rate of around a trillion dollar bailout for a term of one year. It won't change the GAO report of 16 trillion.

We don't have to be genius's to have an opinion about impropriety by the FED. :)
 
Number one: Is it the job of the FED to bailout these gamblers (criminals)? Congress and the President all ready had a bailout.

Number 2 secrecy:
Was it above board that the public knew it was going on? Did Congress know? Why didn't the FED want revelations from investigations that would cause the public to lose faith in them? Why was the decision made for a one time investigation? Why did the FED agree that they need to improve their practices? Why wouldn't the FED want citizens to know the quality of the junk backing these loans?

I am not saying the Fed, or any central bank for that matter, is completely perfect. However, of all the central banks across the globe, the Fed (IMHO) is the most independent, innovative, and possesses some of the most knowledgeable economists, financiers, and actuaries in the entire world. The European Central Bank (ECB) was not designed to with stand various credit defaults of its member states (otherwise Eurobonds would have been implemented from the start), and a potential collapse of the European Monetary Union is more likely than it has ever been.

Before a properly function Fed, recessions and depressions were far more common, and had longer durations.

Source:
 
If GB wanted to say hey ... term makes the effective rate of the loans around a trillion for one year ... fine ... that's not the approach that was used. I was told it wasn't a bailout after being told it was a conspiracy.

The way in which you applied the comment belongs in the conspiracy theory section. It technically was not $16 trillion, and it surely was not secret. I have little understanding as to why you believe the Feds dealings should be made public on a per action basis.

So if I borrow a million for a million years ... using his rational I borrowed one dollar. I could accept an effective rate of around a trillion dollar bailout for a term of one year. It won't change the GAO report of 16 trillion.

From table 9 of the GAO report:

Table 9: Institutions with Largest Total Term-Adjusted Borrowing across Broad-Based Emergency Programs, December 1,
2007 through July 21, 2010

Why do you continue to ignore table 9? The aggregate loan amount adjusted on a per term basis was $1.39 trillion.
 
I am not saying the Fed, or any central bank for that matter, is completely perfect. However, of all the central banks across the globe, the Fed (IMHO) is the most independent, innovative, and possesses some of the most knowledgeable economists, financiers, and actuaries in the entire world. The European Central Bank (ECB) was not designed to with stand various credit defaults of its member states (otherwise Eurobonds would have been implemented from the start), and a potential collapse of the European Monetary Union is more likely than it has ever been.

Before a properly function Fed, recessions and depressions were far more common, and had longer durations.

Source:

I'm not a supporter of the central banks. Lincoln had his national banks and avoided the Rothschild / NY interests. Lincoln and the Whigs / Pubs desperately wanted a central bank ... I'm blathering ... just way to much negative damn history ... if theres a place I save in my heart for conspiracy ... it's central banks. I'd be happier if it was in the hand of government and I could do without them too. You want a good read check out the history of central banks in America ... what a mess. I'm not against fiat ... but I never forget Mayer's quote, and wonder why a central bank that returns its profits is so important to control.
 
I am not saying the Fed, or any central bank for that matter, is completely perfect. However, of all the central banks across the globe, the Fed (IMHO) is the most independent, innovative, and possesses some of the most knowledgeable economists, financiers, and actuaries in the entire world. The European Central Bank (ECB) was not designed to with stand various credit defaults of its member states (otherwise Eurobonds would have been implemented from the start), and a potential collapse of the European Monetary Union is more likely than it has ever been.

Before a properly function Fed, recessions and depressions were far more common, and had longer durations.

Source:

So should the FED have bailed them out? And should they have been forthcoming with Congress and the public?
 
The way in which you applied the comment belongs in the conspiracy theory section. It technically was not $16 trillion, and it surely was not secret. I have little understanding as to why you believe the Feds dealings should be made public on a per action basis.



From table 9 of the GAO report:



Why do you continue to ignore table 9? The aggregate loan amount adjusted on a per term basis was $1.39 trillion.

As I've already stated if you want the term for a year ... I'll accept the "effective" bailout amount for a year. Now when I quote 40 trillion instead of 16 trillion in loans will you call it a conspiracy? As I don't see where you get 40 trillion.

And I'd like a response as to why it's not secret.
 
So should the FED have bailed them out? And should they have been forthcoming with Congress and the public?

It is the Feds to provide credit when the markets are unable to provide it for themselves. Strong corporations with quality balance sheets couldn't get the credit required to run their day to day operations.

For example, GE was terrified at the notion they would have to liquidate assets as a means of funding various operations as the commercial paper market essentially locked up. Therefore, it is the Fed's job to step in as lender of last resort when credit markets fail to function properly.
 
It is the Feds to provide credit when the markets are unable to provide it for themselves. Strong corporations with quality balance sheets couldn't get the credit required to run their day to day operations.

For example, GE was terrified at the notion they would have to liquidate assets as a means of funding various operations as the commercial paper market essentially locked up. Therefore, it is the Fed's job to step in as lender of last resort when credit markets fail to function properly.

Well we are going to have to disagree on this one. I don't accept them bailing out gamblers ... most of whom ripped the country off with their insanity. Especially with their junk backing loans. GE gets no love either. Jack Welch and his factory barges ... Immelt and his export of advanced technology. Should have let them sink.
 
As I've already stated if you want the term for a year ... I'll accept the "effective" bailout amount for a year.

The amount shown in table 9 is the total amount loaned, not for a year, but for the entire span associated with the audit (2007-2010).

Now when I quote 40 trillion instead of 16 trillion in loans will you call it a conspiracy? As I don't see where you get 40 trillion.

It could have been even greater than $40 trillion, but i have no way of knowing unless i have access to the durations of TAF, TALF CCFF, etc....

(from the GAO report):

For example, an overnight PDCF loan of $10 billion that was renewed daily at the same level for 30 business days would result in an aggregate amount borrowed of $300 billion although the institution, in effect, borrowed only $10 billion over 30days. In contrast, a TAF loan of $10 billion extended over a 1-month period would appear as $10 billion. As a result, the total transaction amounts shown in table 8 for PDCF are not directly comparable to the total transaction amounts shown for TAF and other programs that made loans for periods longer than overnight.

And I'd like a response as to why it's not secret.
reserve-bank-credit-Jan-2011.jpg

111.jpg
 
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The amount shown in table 9 is the total amount loaned, not for a year, but for the entire span associated with the audit (2007-2010).



It could have been even greater than $40 trillion, but i have no way of knowing unless i have access to the durations of TAF, TALF CCFF, etc....

(from the GAO report):




View attachment 67115545

View attachment 67115544

Table 8 is the correct amount of loans. Table 9 is the term adjusted amount.

16 Trillion is correct. The note on table 9 explains it

Table 9 should be correct based upon the note at table 9 ... dollar amounts are term adjusted for a year ... with deviation for loans paid before the original loan maturity date. You don't need the duration as it is already adjusted for in Table 9

PDCF and TAF

Table 8 aggregates total dollar
transaction amounts by adding the total dollar amount of all loans but
does not adjust these amounts to reflect differences across programs in
the term over which loans were outstanding. For example, an overnight
PDCF loan of $10 billion that was renewed daily at the same level for 30
business days would result in an aggregate amount borrowed of $300
billion although the institution, in effect, borrowed only $10 billion over 30
days. In contrast, a TAF loan of $10 billion extended over a 1-month
period would appear as $10 billion. As a result, the total transaction
amounts shown in table 8 for PDCF are not directly comparable to the
total transaction amounts shown for TAF and other programs that made
loans for periods longer than overnight.

Table 9
To account for differences in the terms for loans that were outstanding,
we multiplied each loan amount by the number of days the loan was
outstanding and divided this amount by the number of days in a year
(365). Table 9 shows the top 20 borrowing institutions in terms of termadjusted
total transaction amount for emergency programs and other
assistance provided directly to institutions facing liquidity strains.

Note: The dollar amounts borrowed for each loan were term-adjusted by multiplying the loan amount
by the term to maturity for the loan and dividing by 365 days. Term to maturity is calculated as the
difference between the original loan maturity date and the trade date and does not reflect repayments
of loans that occurred before the original loan maturity date. Total borrowing is aggregated at the
parent company level and generally includes borrowing by branches, agencies, subsidiaries, and
sponsored ABCP conduits that we could identify. Total borrowing for each parent company
consolidates amounts borrowed by acquired institutions following the completion of acquisitions.
PDCF totals include credit extensions to affiliates of some primary dealers and TSLF totals include
loans under the TSLF Options Program (TOP).
 
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Uh-oh!



irony-meter.jpg




Aside from the fact that Bush's budget ran trhough September, 2009, plus TARP, plus supplimentals for his wars, he's responsible for well over a trillion dollars, the FY2008 deficit also topped a trillion dollars.


Well I've offered you many opportunities to show where in that GAO report it said the cost was above the $639B it stated was the "estimated loss" "to the United States," but you folded like a bad poker hand; I asked many times for you to show where it stated that $639B was not the total cost, but you ran away like a frightened schoolgirl; I challenged you to show where that report stated direct + indirect costs exceeded a trillion dollars, but you failed like the 2008 Lions.


Speaking of sickness ... I've posted those side-by-side comparisons about 5 times now and yet you're still waiting for them. :roll:

Doesn't matter how long the Bush BUDGET ran, Obama spent the money and Obama approved the spending. Obama voted for the Budget as I pointed out earlier in this thread and thus Obama is responsible for the deficit as history will show

If you read the report you will see that there were direct and indirect costs,, You don't know the difference. The direct costs were 639 billion and the indirect costs such as lost wages, lost tax revenue, etc took that well over 1 trillion dollars

You have posted percentage change which mean nothing but keep saying the same things over and over again and believe that they are true. You have a bad case of BDS as well as a lack of civics understanding
 
Table 8 is the correct amount of loans. Table 9 is the term adjusted amount.

16 Trillion is correct. The note on table 9 explains it

Table 9 should be correct based upon the note at table 9 ... dollar amounts are term adjusted for a year ... with deviation for loans paid before the original loan maturity date. You don't need the duration as it is already adjusted for in Table 9

PDCF and TAF



Table 9


Have you read anything that i posted? I provided the same context to which i highlighted in the bold red. Why all the sudden do you feel the need to act as though this is some new information?

I have little interest in continuing this discussion because you are being either purposely obtuse, or you are replying to my posts without reading them in their entirety.
 
They had terrorist attacks under Bush as well. frankly, the overall death total is much higher under Bush. :coffeepap

Well then by all means, please, list them as I have or else I'll call you the partisan hack you already know you are.
 
Well then by all means, please, list them as I have or else I'll call you the partisan hack you already know you are.

Old news, and something anyone discussing it should know. But sure, no problem:

NEW YORK — As speakers at the GOP convention trumpet Bush administration successes in the war on terrorism, an NBC News analysis of Islamic terrorism since Sept. 11, 2001, shows that attacks are on the rise worldwide — dramatically.

Terrorism deaths on increase - US news - Security - msnbc.com

As nihilistic as it may be, al-Qaeda, from a business point of view, is a major success: three years after September 11, it is a global brand and a global movement. The Middle East, in this scenario, is just a regional base station. This global brand does not have much to do with Islam. But it has everything to do with the globalization of anti-imperialism. And the empire, whatever its definition, has its center in Washington. Bin Laden is laughing: Bush's crusade has legitimized an obscure sect as a worldwide symbol of political revolt. How could bin Laden not vote for Bush?

Asia Times - Asia's most trusted news source for the Middle East

In addition to rebuilding its organization and enhancing its capacity to attack the United States homeland, as Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell reported in the 2008 Annual Threat Assessment, al Qaeda also has significantly expanded its worldwide operational and ideological reach over the past few years. New terrorist organizations have emerged and many existing networks have gained renewed strength, from al Qaeda affiliates in North Africa and Southeast Asia to "homegrown" extremists operating in many parts of Europe and even in the United States. While these organizations often draw resources and inspiration from al Qaeda, they primarily operate independently, making them more difficult to identify and defeat

The Bush-Republican Record of Failure in Combating Global Terrorism

One of the many sad ironies of the Bush era that is rapidly and mercifully drawing to a close is that after the president created a �central front in the war on terror� by invading Iraq, the amount of �terrorism� in the world skyrocketed. I call it the Bush Bubble:

The Raw Story | White House: Increase in terror attacks since 9/11 a success

Wednesday, April 27, 2005

The number of serious international terrorist incidents more than tripled last year, according to U.S. government figures, a sharp upswing in deadly attacks that the State Department has decided not to make public in its annual report on terrorism due to Congress this week.

U.S. Figures Show Sharp Global Rise In Terrorism


I do have to leave for a awhile, but any search would show you much more than I've listed.

:coffeepap
 
Doesn't matter how long the Bush BUDGET ran, Obama spent the money and Obama approved the spending. Obama voted for the Budget as I pointed out earlier in this thread and thus Obama is responsible for the deficit as history will show

If you read the report you will see that there were direct and indirect costs,, You don't know the difference. The direct costs were 639 billion and the indirect costs such as lost wages, lost tax revenue, etc took that well over 1 trillion dollars

You have posted percentage change which mean nothing but keep saying the same things over and over again and believe that they are true. You have a bad case of BDS as well as a lack of civics understanding

That is the nature of a financial and economic downturn. Automatic stabilizers (unemployment insurance, food stamps, welfare tend to increase when jobs are lost) combined with a reduction in revenue (due to unemployment, wealth loss, etc...) naturally increase a deficit in a downturn. This has happened to every administration, Dem or Rep, since WWII.

However, it is a TRAVESTY to run deficits during periods of economic growth (or when the natural rate of unemployment converges with the actual U-3 rate of unemployment).
 
That is the nature of a financial and economic downturn. Automatic stabilizers (unemployment insurance, food stamps, welfare tend to increase when jobs are lost) combined with a reduction in revenue (due to unemployment, wealth loss, etc...) naturally increase a deficit in a downturn. This has happened to every administration, Dem or Rep, since WWII.

However, it is a TRAVESTY to run deficits during periods of economic growth (or when the natural rate of unemployment converges with the actual U-3 rate of unemployment).

What is your recommendation to put 25 million unemployed and under employed Americans back to work? Why didn't the 840 billion dollar stimulus program signed in Feb. 2009 do that and create more employment than when Obama took office?

there is no way the govt. can grow the economy out of a debt this big nor can they tax enough to do it. Far too many people don't understand the free enterprise/Capitalism economy that we have today. Anyone here believe that the Obama job's plan this time will result in any different results than last time? Obama and his minions don't understand how to create jobs.
 
What is your recommendation to put 25 million unemployed and under employed Americans back to work? Why didn't the 840 billion dollar stimulus program signed in Feb. 2009 do that and create more employment than when Obama took office?

It was far too small, and was made up primarily of tax cuts/breaks (the largest portion).

$1.5 trillion spent with a multipler of 2 (i am assuming as a whole, the marginal propensity to consume domestic goods is 50%), spanned across 3 years would boost output by around $1 trillion a year on average.

In retrospect, the $800 billion stimulus (assuming the same MPCDG, and therefore the same multiplier) only accounts for (on average) $533 billion per year for 3 years.

The Obama economic team blew it from the get-go, stating that unemployment would not even reach 9% WITHOUT stimulus! And with stimulus, it went all the way to 10.2%! This means they undershot the stimulus.

there is no way the govt. can grow the economy out of a debt this big nor can they tax enough to do it.

Why? It worked during WWII when the government spent so much bloody money, the unemployment rate hit an all time low of 1.2% (10 years after the initial downturn). Why would it not work this time around?

Far too many people don't understand the free enterprise/Capitalism economy that we have today.

Nonsense. I understand how our economy works, and the mechanisms within it far more than you ever will. The content of my post are representative of that.

Anyone here believe that the Obama job's plan this time will result in any different results than last time? Obama and his minions don't understand how to create jobs.

The early on Obama administration was trying to appease far to many sides of the political spectrum. The key is to invest in public works. Tax cuts will under-perform as a means of stimulus until the level of house hold debt as a % of GDP falls to around 60%. Remember, stimulus is always a short term fix, and saving tax proceeds does not boost the economy in the short term.

HouseholdDebtPercentGDPQ42009.jpg
 
Goldenboy219;1059784090]It was far too small, and was made up primarily of tax cuts/breaks (the largest portion).

Much of those so called tax cuts were actual expense items funded out of the budget, ie, first time home credits, energy credits

Obama tax cuts

Total: $237 billion
• $116 billion: New tax credit of $400 per worker and $800 per couple in 2009 and 2010. Phase out begins at $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for joint filers.[29]
• $70 billion: Alternative minimum tax: a one year increase in AMT floor to $70,950 for joint filers for 2009.[29]
• $15 billion: Expansion of child tax credit: A $1,000 credit to more families (even those that do not make enough money to pay income taxes).
• $14 billion: Expanded college credit to provide a $2,500 expanded tax credit for college tuition and related expenses for 2009 and 2010. The credit is phased out for couples making more than $160,000.
• $6.6 billion: Homebuyer credit: $8,000 refundable credit for all homes bought between 1/1/2009 and 12/1/2009 and repayment provision repealed for homes purchased in 2009 and held more than three years. This only applies to first-time homebuyers.[41]
• $4.7 billion: Excluding from taxation the first $2,400 a person receives in unemployment compensation benefits in 2009.
• $4.7 billion: Expanded earned income tax credit to increase the earned income tax credit — which provides money to low income workers — for families with at least three children.
• $4.3 billion: Home energy credit to provide an expanded credit to homeowners who make their homes more energy-efficient in 2009 and 2010. Homeowners could recoup 30 percent of the cost up to $1,500 of numerous projects, such as installing energy-efficient windows, doors, furnaces and air conditioners.
• $1.7 billion: for deduction of sales tax from car purchases, not interest payments phased out for incomes above $250,000.

But I do agree with you they blew it on how they spent the money but I disagree with you that it was too small. What did the Reagan stimulus cost the govt? Obama's fed his base and did nothing for the economy.


$1.5 trillion spent with a multipler of 2 (i am assuming as a whole, the marginal propensity to consume domestic goods is 50%), spanned across 3 years would boost output by around $1 trillion a year on average.

In retrospect, the $800 billion stimulus (assuming the same MPCDG, and therefore the same multiplier) only accounts for (on average) $533 billion per year for 3 years.

There you go again, charts and graphs. Do you ever get out into the real world talking to real people and seeing how real people live? Charts and graphs don't show human behavior

The Obama economic team blew it from the get-go, stating that unemployment would not even reach 9% WITHOUT stimulus! And with stimulus, it went all the way to 10.2%! This means they undershot the stimulus.

Actual unemployment is much higher than the reported as discouraged workers, contract workers and closed small businesses aren't counted. Obama relies in the ignorance of supporters to spread misinformation

Why? It worked during WWII when the government spent so much bloody money, the unemployment rate hit an all time low of 1.2% (10 years after the initial downturn). Why would it not work this time around?

Different time and different world. No global economy then, war manufacturing, low GDP, low personal income, low cost of govt.

Nonsense. I understand how our economy works, and the mechanisms within it far more than you ever will. The content of my post are representative of that.

What you show is that you are book smart but lack street sense as well as an understandin of human behavior. Your posts come right out of the textbook that ignores logic and common sense as well as personal behavior.

The early on Obama administration was trying to appease far to many sides of the political spectrum. The key is to invest in public works. Tax cuts will under-perform as a means of stimulus until the level of house hold debt as a % of GDP falls to around 60%. Remember, stimulus is always a short term fix, and saving tax proceeds does not boost the economy in the short term.

The key is to turn the private sector loose not promote waste, fraud, abuse, and reward terrible behavior. The federal govt is ineffecient and has administrative costs that are way too high for the benefits received. I am amazed that someone as smart as you cannot see it.

Regarding your chart, who measures household networth? How about people who aren't measured? What is the sample group? Where does personal responsibility lie in your world? Household debt is mostly a personal responsibility issue and the way out to liberals is to reward that behavior. You see today people get paid for two years not to work. Today people get rewarded for spending too much money by getting bailed out. Today people get ER services even though they have the opportunity to get healthcare. That didn't happen throughout history and the answer today seems to be doubling down.
 
Have you read anything that i posted? I provided the same context to which i highlighted in the bold red. Why all the sudden do you feel the need to act as though this is some new information?


I have little interest in continuing this discussion because you are being either purposely obtuse, or you are replying to my posts without reading them in their entirety.

Here is the list of PDCF transactions ... amounts and collateral.

5. Citigroup tapped the facility 279 times, followed by Merrill Lynch (226 times), Morgan Stanley (122) and Bank of America (BAC) (118). The use of PDCF was highly concentrated, with the top four banks amongst them using almost 70% of the facility.

saupload_pdcf_borrowers.png


You convinced me to term the amount to a year ... so it could be appreciated relative to a more representational thought.

How is it in black and white you have a problem with the black and white.

16 trillion has been dragged out to table 9 ... a years term. How is it not that way, when it clearly states it is?

Are you basing on a longer term? What evidence do you have that Table 8 is not the term adjusted data for table 9, and that it may or may not have been calculated erroneously.

Note: The dollar amounts borrowed for each loan were term-adjusted by multiplying the loan amount by the term to maturity for the loan and dividing by 365 days. Term to maturity is calculated as the difference between the original loan maturity date and the trade date and does not reflect repayments of loans that occurred before the original loan maturity date. Total borrowing is aggregated at the parent company level and generally includes borrowing by branches, agencies, subsidiaries, and sponsored ABCP conduits that we could identify. Total borrowing for each parent company consolidates amounts borrowed by acquired institutions following the completion of acquisitions. PDCF totals include credit extensions to affiliates of some primary dealers and TSLF totals includeloans under the TSLF Options Program (TOP).

Several of the programs saw greater use by large global institutions that
were significant participants in the funding markets targeted by the
Federal Reserve Board. Tables 8 and 9 rank the largest borrowing
institutions according to aggregate borrowing (irrespective of differences
in term to maturity) and total borrowing after adjusting for differences in
loan terms

seekingalpha.com/article/243181-the-use-and-abuse-of-the-primary-dealer-credit-facility
 
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Doesn't matter how long the Bush BUDGET ran, Obama spent the money and Obama approved the spending. Obama voted for the Budget as I pointed out earlier in this thread and thus Obama is responsible for the deficit as history will show
Obama will never be responsible for Bush's budget, get real. As far as spending money, even attributing Bush's TARP and war costs to Obama, the most you can pawn off on Obama is $152B for TARP, $200B for ARRA, and $100B for the wars. The remaining is $1.4 trillion and all came from Bush's budget.

If you read the report you will see that there were direct and indirect costs,, You don't know the difference. The direct costs were 639 billion and the indirect costs such as lost wages, lost tax revenue, etc took that well over 1 trillion dollars
Instead of lying, show me where in the report it states that $639B is for direct costs only? It's not there, you're making that up. Show me where in the report where it states there was an additional some $400B in indirect costs? It's not there, you're making that up too.

For the record, you have yet to prove your BS comment that the GAO reported the total cost for 9.11 was more than a trillion dollars. Of course, that doesn't even slow you down from lying and repeating that BS.


You have posted percentage change which mean nothing but keep saying the same things over and over again and believe that they are true. You have a bad case of BDS as well as a lack of civics understanding
You asked for side-by-side comparison. Figures that after I provide that, you complain about it. :roll:
 
Sheik Yerbuti;1059784240]Obama will never be responsible for Bush's budget, get real. As far as spending money, even attributing Bush's TARP and war costs to Obama, the most you can pawn off on Obama is $152B for TARP, $200B for ARRA, and $100B for the wars. The remaining is $1.4 trillion and all came from Bush's budget.

Obama voted for the Bush budget, had 8 months to change it or request lowering the spending but didn't. He put his people in charge of the spending and thus the deficit is his

Instead of lying, show me where in the report it states that $639B is for direct costs only? It's not there, you're making that up. Show me where in the report where it states there was an additional some $400B in indirect costs? It's not there, you're making that up too.


You only read the part of the report that you wanted to read, read the entire report.

For the record, you have yet to prove your BS comment that the GAO reported the total cost for 9.11 was more than a trillion dollars. Of course, that doesn't even slow you down from lying and repeating that BS.

Now I could prove it but suffice it to say, I could do what you do all the time, round the direct costs up

You asked for side-by-side comparison. Figures that after I provide that, you complain about it. :roll:

With liberals it is always easier using percentages because that ignores real people. Numbers matter more than percentages. Obama will add more debt in 4 years than Bush did in 8 yet you think that is a good thing because the percentage is less. That is liberal logic
 
Much of those so called tax cuts were actual expense items funded out of the budget, ie, first time home credits, energy credits

Obama tax cuts

Total: $237 billion
• $116 billion: New tax credit of $400 per worker and $800 per couple in 2009 and 2010. Phase out begins at $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for joint filers.[29]
• $70 billion: Alternative minimum tax: a one year increase in AMT floor to $70,950 for joint filers for 2009.[29]
• $15 billion: Expansion of child tax credit: A $1,000 credit to more families (even those that do not make enough money to pay income taxes).
• $14 billion: Expanded college credit to provide a $2,500 expanded tax credit for college tuition and related expenses for 2009 and 2010. The credit is phased out for couples making more than $160,000.
• $6.6 billion: Homebuyer credit: $8,000 refundable credit for all homes bought between 1/1/2009 and 12/1/2009 and repayment provision repealed for homes purchased in 2009 and held more than three years. This only applies to first-time homebuyers.[41]
• $4.7 billion: Excluding from taxation the first $2,400 a person receives in unemployment compensation benefits in 2009.
• $4.7 billion: Expanded earned income tax credit to increase the earned income tax credit — which provides money to low income workers — for families with at least three children.
• $4.3 billion: Home energy credit to provide an expanded credit to homeowners who make their homes more energy-efficient in 2009 and 2010. Homeowners could recoup 30 percent of the cost up to $1,500 of numerous projects, such as installing energy-efficient windows, doors, furnaces and air conditioners.
• $1.7 billion: for deduction of sales tax from car purchases, not interest payments phased out for incomes above $250,000.


Did they put more of what people earn, back in their pocket? I would like you to answer this.

But I do agree with you they blew it on how they spent the money but I disagree with you that it was too small.

Based on what, gut feeling, so called street smarts, common sense?

What did the Reagan stimulus cost the govt?

3.8% of GDP. However the Reagan recession was manufactured by Paul Volker, as a means of reducing inflation expectations. Reagan did not inherit the worst financial crisis since 1929. There was not a 25% loss in household net worth, credit contraction (even though mortgages were expensive, people still were able to take them because their wages were being impacted upward due to the same inflation you site), mortgage meltdown, banking collapse, corporate bankruptcies whose assets were more than 10% of GDP, total shutdown of the commercial paper credit market, insolvency of the worlds largest insurance company, insolvency of Fannie and Freddie, 2 of the 3 largest U.S. auto manufactures collapse, a housing crisis that has left millions of homes vacant and millions of homeowners underwater on their mortgage, massive bank failures, more than 600,000 job losses per month, etc....

But hey, there was 10.8% unemployment and inflation of 11% in the 1980's. :shock: WOW. You might want to use your head for something other than hanging a hat.

Obama's fed his base and did nothing for the economy.

Obama and his administration underestimated the size and magnitude of this financial crisis, much in the same way as you continue to do.

There you go again, charts and graphs. Do you ever get out into the real world talking to real people and seeing how real people live? Charts and graphs don't show human behavior

Charts and graphs? I used a basic macro model to illustrate why the stimulus package was too small. How on earth does talking to people and seeing how real people live give me insight into the adequacy of the ARRA? Please explain this.....

Actual unemployment is much higher than the reported as discouraged workers, contract workers and closed small businesses aren't counted. Obama relies in the ignorance of supporters to spread misinformation

You're resorting to semantics. The Obama administration made no reference to the U-6 unemployment rate, so it is irrelevant to consider given my previous statement.

Different time and different world. No global economy then, war manufacturing, low GDP, low personal income, low cost of govt.

None the less, the federal debt as a % of GDP skyrocketed to 144%. That was the greatest generation, they paid their debts with blood and hard work. It was your generation, the pass the buck generation, that has created this disaster.

What you show is that you are book smart but lack street sense as well as an understandin of human behavior.

How have i displayed any of that given we are discussing the macro economy, fiscal stimulus, business cycle behavior, and political economy? What specifically have i said that shows i do not understand human behavior? You continue to make these accusations on a consistent basis, yet are never able to exhibit exactly what lead you to this conclusion. In reality, this is really just a defense mechanism you've created when you cannot keep up with the discussion. How do you prove street smarts on an internet discussion about U.S. job creation?:roll:

Your posts come right out of the textbook that ignores logic and common sense as well as personal behavior.

Ok then prove it. What exactly is fallacious and lacks common sense? You seem to want to discuss me and what you perceive me to know rather than the topic at hand. I make a statement, and you call me into question without even acknowledging that very statement.

The key is to turn the private sector loose not promote waste, fraud, abuse, and reward terrible behavior.

The private sector has more liquidity, capital, and short term assets than they have ever had! EVER! In fact, there has never been this sort of short term assets and cash on corporate balance sheets during any time in history. They are sitting on $1.93 trillion in cash and short term assets!

Today, these companies are sitting on US$1.93 trillion in cash and other liquid assets, rather than using this money in rebuilding its battered economy.

The federal govt is ineffecient and has administrative costs that are way too high for the benefits received. I am amazed that someone as smart as you cannot see it.

I agree. But when nobody is willing to spend money, it is the role of government to step in and provide a necessary jolt to prevent a depression. Did the great depression teach you anything?

Regarding your chart, who measures household networth?

The Federal Reserve Bank and the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

How about people who aren't measured?

Exactly who was not measured?

What is the sample group?

LOL! They simply relate the money supply, savings, equity, debt, and put it all together. For more information, look here. Remember, the Fed controls all financial accounts in the United States. All banks have an account at the Fed, and the Fed is responsible for making all banking transactions.

Where does personal responsibility lie in your world?

How is this relevant to the discussion? I was not making any judgement calls.

Household debt is mostly a personal responsibility issue and the way out to liberals is to reward that behavior. You see today people get paid for two years not to work. Today people get rewarded for spending too much money by getting bailed out. Today people get ER services even though they have the opportunity to get healthcare. That didn't happen throughout history and the answer today seems to be doubling down.

This is a red herring argument (a fallacy Mr. Logic), and in no way addresses my last point. People are so indebted, they will spend little of their tax proceeds from a tax cut, which is why it is a suboptimal was to stimulate the economy. Does this model human behavior correctly? If you were in debt nearly 90%, and got some money back from a tax cut, would you go out and buy a new car, or pay down your debt? How about actually answering one my my many points instead of hitting the reply button before you make it past 5 sentences....
 
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