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Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

mbig

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Time to move out of the curio Environment section into the MAJOR News story this is.

Now, in all Likelihood, Devastating Damage coming for Tens of Millions.

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurr...ression-nine-storm-hurricane-irene_2011-08-20

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I live along the East River in Manhattan (app Sea Level + 10-12') facing South with Open view-- read 'Full Force Winds', Picture Windows.
Moving inland to higher ground, still in the City, starting tomorrow.
Feels like Ground Zero again.

Preparations in the area are Massive. The East End of Long Island, aka Hamptons, will be a Ghost town soon.
As much of the East Coast from North Carolina to Maine.

Most with No place to go- their second homes/accomodations in similarly affected areas- North or East.
 
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Doesn't seem like it should be a huge problem for the NE. It's supposed to be down to a weak Cat 1 storm by then, at most. If it drags along the VA/MD shore it'll probably just be a tropical storm. Hopefully....

Outer banks should get a nice blow, though. Sure glad it missed S. Fla.
 
Time to move out of the curio Environment section into the MAJOR News story this is.

Now, in all Likelihood, Devastating Damage coming for Tens of Millions.

Hurricane Irene: Current Status and Forecast

map_tropprjpath09_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg
spec_sat10_600_en.jpg


I live along the East River in Manhattan (app Sea Level + 10-12') facing South with Open view-- read 'Full Force Winds', Picture Windows.
Moving inland to higher ground, still in the City, starting tomorrow.
Feels like Ground Zero again.

Preparations in the area are Massive. The East End of Long Island, aka Hamptons, will be a Ghost town soon.
As much of the East Coast from North Carolina to Maine.

Most with No place to go- their second homes/accomodations in similarly affected areas- North or East.

looks like it'll be a cat 1 by the time it gets up there...shouldn't be too big of a problem.
 
looks like it'll be a cat 1 by the time it gets up there...shouldn't be too big of a problem.
Cat 1, IMO would Cost Tens Billions of Dollars, Knock out power, Damage too many buildings and homes to count.
Even a strong Tropical storm this large is going to be very bad.

'Mere' 70-85 mph winds it looks like ... almost never happen in a wide area.
Most Buildings/skyscrapers (esp windows) have never been tested in Prolonged winds that looked likely.
Major Burbs for Hundreds of miles will get Creamed with down trees, power lines, etc.

There hasn't been a NE Metropolitan area hit like this in a century.
The last Disaster 1938, It was stronger true, totally destroyed Eastern Long Island, Rhode Island, etc.

Everyone's been hoping it takes the traditional East jog.. but Models having it inching ever more West.
Cone center is just about up the Hudson River. (after Crushing AC, Philly, etc)
 
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Well, I think that Houston, Miami, and New Orleans count as metropolitan areas....

No doubt it would be a major headache and a big expense.
 
Well, I think that Houston, Miami, and New Orleans count as metropolitan areas....

No doubt it would be a major headache and a big expense.
It was corrected to "NE" and that is Humongous in population/area compared to places you mention. That Is the point of the thread.
It isn't Katrina than goodness.
 
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It was corrected to "NE" and That is humongous in population/area compared to places you mention. That Is the point of the thread.
It isn't Katrina than goodness.

Bigger, for sure, but Houston has a population of 2.1 million. You wouldn't know it living in the NE, but Houston is the fourth largest city in the country. ;)
 
Bigger, for sure, but Houston has a population of 2.1 million. You wouldn't know it living in the NE, but Houston is the fourth largest city in the country. ;)
I'm, tired of Your Nonsense, Cherry-picked/partial-quote replies.

and 2.1 Million is maybe 1/20th of the possible affected population here.

Everyone knows Already N.O. and Miami have been hit.
that is NO News and No reply.
Bye.


EDIT, and AdamT still on my Crapola list for the Sneaky:

http://www.debatepolitics.com/break...-warming-call-me-crazy-27.html#post1059742583
 
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I'm, tired of Your Nonsense, Cherry-picked/partial-quote replies.

and 2.1 Million is maybe 1/20th of the possible affected population here.

Everyone knows ALREADY N.O. and Miami have been hit.
that is NO News and No reply.
Bye.

WTF are you talking about, ya dingbat? I quoted your whole post and I was actually trying be helpful by providing you with a good tracking site.

Save us from NY hurricane experts. :lol:
 
It's only going to be a cat 1, nothing more then a alot of rain, and some winds.
 
It's only going to be a cat 1, nothing more then a alot of rain, and some winds.
Another who missed the point.
'Cat 1' is Indeed No biggie... but try running it up the heaviest populated portion/400+ miles of I-95.
Lotsa damage at 85 mph.

Hopefully it will Weaken to 40-50 mph and leave even more minimal damage.
Not the Forecast now however.

But of course Not "the end of days" (I said Not "Katrina").. yet another Disingenuous AdamT reply.
 
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Well good luck with that. Tight lines.
 
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Another 'Alarmist' I guess. 11 hours ago.

As Hurricane Irene nears, Gov. Christie declares a State of Emergency to mobilize National Guard
As Hurricane Irene nears, Gov. Christie declares a State of Emergency to mobilize National Guard | NJ.com
Thursday, August 25, 2011, 1:17 PM

EWING — Gov. Chris Christie declared a State of Emergency today and called on the state's shore residents and visitors to Evacuate in the next 24 hours in preparation of Hurricane Irene.

Christie said he was still weighing whether to order a mandatory evacuation of the shore areas. For now, he said people on a barrier island and any other beach community from Sandy Hook to Cape May should begin preparing now to leave.

"We are Not overreacting, we need to be ready for this," Christie said.

He said that based on the state's tracking, the eye of the hurricane, or the most violent part of the storm, could make landfall over Cape May or Atlantic County some time Saturday. The storm surges, coupled with unusually high tides, could cause Extensive flooding across the state, where the ground is already saturated, as well as damage to the coastline, he said.

Christie warned residents that the storm is Not to be taken lightly.
"I've lived here my whole life and I understand the cry wolf syndrome. ... This is Not one of those circumstances," Christie said.

The governor said he would lead by example by packing up his family, which is currently vacationing at Island Beach State Park.
"I'm on a barrier island with my wife and four kids, and I will Not be there tonight," he said.
[..........]
The Displacement from and abandonment of all the shore communities from NC, to AC-NJ, to Hamptons, Cap Cod, etc, is already a Multi-billion dollar hit.
 
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Christie is doing the right thing but it's really too early to get super excited. A week is a looong time and the track will invariably change. I blieve the average error 4-5 days out is around 250 miles.

In fact, at about 5-6 days they had Irene running head-on into Miami. It ended up missing us by about ... 200 miles.
 
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Christie is doing the right thing but it's really too early to get super excited. A week is a looong time and the track will invariably change. I blieve the average error 4-5 days out is around 250 miles.

In fact, at about 5-6 days they had Irene running head-on into Miami. It ended up missing us by about ... 200 miles.
Except there is No "4-5 days" or "5-6 days" here.
The Hurricane is app 54 (?) hours from Atlantic City. 60 hrs/2½ days from NYC.

another AdamT beauty.
 
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Oops, my bad. Can't say I've been giving it a lot of attention after it passed us by. But it's actually about three days from your area, and presumably you HAVE been paying attention. :lol:

The models to pay the most attention to GFDL, UKMT, and NGPS. Of the three NGFDL has been the most accurate in recent years. It has the storm running up the Chesapeake Bay and basically missing the NY/NJ coast.
 
Ha. I am super glad I won't be in Boston for this. They are going to get screwed.
 
best wishes to everyone who is in the affected areas. take care.
 
Ugh. Im right near there. Im going to get over 10 inches of rain on saturday and sunday. Hopefully thats about it. I dont need no hurricane.
 
Another who missed the point.
'Cat 1' is Indeed No biggie... but try running it up the heaviest populated portion/400+ miles of I-95.
Lotsa damage at 85 mph.

Hopefully it will Weaken to 40-50 mph and leave even more minimal damage.
Not the Forecast now however.

But of course Not "the end of days" (I said Not "Katrina").. yet another Disingenuous AdamT reply.

You sound like the people here when it snows. YOU MUST GO OUT AND GET MILK AND BREAD OR YOU WILL SURELY DIE!!!!!!!!!

Yeah, it's nothing unique.
 
You sound like the people here when it snows. YOU MUST GO OUT AND GET MILK AND BREAD OR YOU WILL SURELY DIE!!!!!!!!!

Yeah, it's nothing unique.
You need to watch the News.
I suggest CNN or The Weather Channel who will tell you how rare it indeed is. Unique for the NE.
As will State-of-Emergency Gov Christie, a Native NJ boy on the last page.

I really miss Neg Reps.
 
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