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Thread: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by AdamT View Post
    No, you still would not be correct in suggesting that it could rise as high as 20'. But in any case, I doubt it will get anywhere near 15'.
    Let me help you out......

    A prediction of 15' to 20' does NOT mean the surge will be 20', it means it could be 15', or 20', or anywhere in between.

    Understand how it works now ??

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by AdamT View Post
    Actually the storm has been downgraded to Cat 2 for now, the pressure has risen a bit (from 942mb at 9am to 946 at 11am) and it's highly unlikely that it will be a Cat2 when it hits NY. No way on earth it will be Cat3.

    Find a better science website.
    Correct. Looks like some wind shear will further weaken the storm as it passes the Outer Banks. With that said though, it will still be a VERY dangerous storm and a large number of structures will be damaged. Extensive power loss should be expected as trees begin falling on lines. The insurance industry is taking a beating this year since there will undoubtedly be a billion or more dollars damage to structures and vehicles.

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by AdamT View Post
    Well Tim, as I mentioned above, I have been paying very close attention to hurricanes for over 20 years -- not because I read about them on a science blog, but because I've in the middle of too many of them. In other words, I was tracking hurricanes before Google was even a glimmer in Steve Page's eye.
    Then you would know that the information I am providing is plausable then?

    By the way, it's not a blog.. I known some of these guys since the internet was invented by Al Gore.. [wink] Oscar, a member here knows the same people and can back up my claims if he bothered too. I'm not the expert, BUT these guys are..


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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by Gill View Post

    Correct. Looks like some wind shear will further weaken the storm as it passes the Outer Banks. With that said though, it will still be a VERY dangerous storm and a large number of structures will be damaged. Extensive power loss should be expected as trees begin falling on lines. The insurance industry is taking a beating this year since there will undoubtedly be a billion or more dollars damage to structures and vehicles.
    It's not so much the strength as the location.
    The proverbial I-95 'Megalopolis' and it's burbs.

    Even 70-80 mph winds up the heart of that corridor are going to be very damaging.
    Vast areas that haven't been hit in a generation by anything - or Never hit are probably going to have problems.
    It's really problems for so many rather than a Monster for a few.

    I'd guess losses in prime-time Bookings alone to Resorts (Hotels, Restaurants, etc) from NC's Outer Banks extending North to Maine are already a Billion dollars.
    (NC, VA, DE, MD, NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA, NH, ME)
    Last edited by mbig; 08-26-11 at 03:32 PM.
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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by Hicup View Post
    Then you would know that the information I am providing is plausable then?

    By the way, it's not a blog.. I known some of these guys since the internet was invented by Al Gore.. [wink] Oscar, a member here knows the same people and can back up my claims if he bothered too. I'm not the expert, BUT these guys are..


    Tim-
    Yep, well ... pressure up to 951mb at 2pm. Now projected to remain Cat 2 before hitting NC and weakening further.

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by Gill View Post
    Correct. Looks like some wind shear will further weaken the storm as it passes the Outer Banks. With that said though, it will still be a VERY dangerous storm and a large number of structures will be damaged. Extensive power loss should be expected as trees begin falling on lines. The insurance industry is taking a beating this year since there will undoubtedly be a billion or more dollars damage to structures and vehicles.
    No doubt this could be very expensive. It does surprise me, though, that the models don't show more weakening as it drags along the DELMARVA coast. I wouldn't be surprised if it was down to tropical storm strength by the time it hits NY/NJ. Fingers crossed.

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    A friend of mine who lives in NJ is getting evacuated. Red Cross has already started texting me about ways I can help.
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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    One the NOON News here they went out to Detroit Metro Airport and interviewed people waiting in line for flights to the East Coast. It was quite amusing in a sick sort of way.
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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Everyone is acting like this is the first time that New England states are getting the leftovers from a mid-size hurricane that hit it strongest in the Carolinas.

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    Re: Hurricane Irene: looking Like Major Disaster for Northeast

    Quote Originally Posted by Caine View Post
    Everyone is acting like this is the first time that New England states are getting the leftovers from a mid-size hurricane that hit it strongest in the Carolinas.

    Carolinas are use to it though. When I lived in Myrtle Beach hurricanes were nothing, but if you don't get them very much you don't know how to respond. It was like when SC got 6 inches of snow last winter. People were freaking out and it was nothing to me.
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