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Thread: Iran's president calls for post-Soviet security alliance to unite in alliance against

  1. #11
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    Re: Iran's president calls for post-Soviet security alliance to unite in alliance aga

    IMO, Mr. Ahmadinejad's remarks are little more than "noise." He seeks to create the impression that Iran has an effective strategic alliance through which it can insulate itself from the legitimate concerns of the international community. He seeks to shift the psychological balance far more than what is possible from Iran's own power, even as Iran maintains an active diplomacy aimed at circumventing the current regime of modest international sanctions.

    The reality is that both Russia and China are keeping Iran at arms length. There is no military alliance. While Russia and China would vigorously oppose UN sanction of military action against Iran (and almost certainly against Syria, too, in the wake of their view that military action in Libya has gone beyond the narrow purpose of the UNSC resolution on Libya; that dynamic will likely lead to more active Russian and Chinese vetoes of future UNSC resolutions that could authorize the use of force except when they broadly agree with such an approach), it is highly unlikely that either state would come to Iran's rescue were military strikes conducted against Iran's nuclear facilities. That situation is not likely to change in the near-term.

    Both China and Russia also have something to gain from giving Iran a voice in their forum. Both might gain a window into Iran's foreign policy calculations. To the extent that the door appears open to wider Iranian participation in the SCO, Russia and China might also gain somewhat greater leverage on differences they have with the West. In addition, China reinforces a relationship by which it can have a potentially reliable source of oil to feed the increasing energy needs of its rapidly growing economy.
    Last edited by donsutherland1; 06-16-11 at 05:01 PM.

  2. #12
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    Re: Iran's president calls for post-Soviet security alliance to unite in alliance aga

    Inevitably, by Iran or another Islamic state or organization, Israel will be attacked with a nuclear weapon.

    China and Russia are practicing some CYA for when that day happens and the ultimate look of the world thereafter.

    The day is coming, sooner or later.

  3. #13
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    Re: Iran's president calls for post-Soviet security alliance to unite in alliance aga

    So what would this alliance do? It could only damage China's relationship with the US. Why would China do that unless we default on our loans to them, or if American businesses like WalMart stopped purchasing their goods? We're their cash cow. Could Iran replace the profits China receives from the USA? I don't think so. I'm also wondering how long it might be before Iran invites South American countries like Venezuela to be a part of their unholy alliance.
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  4. #14
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    Re: Iran's president calls for post-Soviet security alliance to unite in alliance aga

    Quote Originally Posted by Μολὼν λαβέ View Post
    So what would this alliance do? It could only damage China's relationship with the US. Why would China do that unless we default on our loans to them, or if American businesses like WalMart stopped purchasing their goods? We're their cash cow. Could Iran replace the profits China receives from the USA? I don't think so. I'm also wondering how long it might be before Iran invites South American countries like Venezuela to be a part of their unholy alliance.

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