In my
Critique of Austrian Economics,
Axiomatic Economics by Victor Aguilar: Critique of Austrian Economics, I write:
“Credit limits are more important than interest rates and there are many people who cannot get credit at all. Interest rates only affect how much money is being transferred. They do not affect who gets it…
“Recently, Stiglitz and Greenwald have raised the same issue. ‘That some loans are not repaid is central… Thus, a central function of banks is to determine who is likely to default, and in doing so, banks determine the supply of loans.’ (2003, p. 3). This idea, that bank loans redistribute wealth from one class of people to another, is a fundamental departure from the classical view that banks merely divide the world into those who are willing to borrow at x% but not at x.1%, without regard to who those people are, their class or their importance to the government.”
Recent events have confirmed my belief that credit limits are more important than interest rates:
Alan Zibel writes, “Lenders [who must satisfy Fannie and Freddie] are demanding bank statements, big cash reserves and second appraisals before they approve a loan to refinance a home. Mortgage rates are hovering around 6.6%, about the same level as a year ago.”
Clearly, if mortgage rates are the same as a year ago but the housing market is so much different (and worse) than a year ago, then mortgage
rates are not the best measure of the market. Credit limits are.
Martin Feldstein concurs, “The dysfunctional state of the credit market means that many individuals and businesses are unable to get credit. Lowering interest rates will not stimulate demand for those who cannot get credit.”
At the macro level, most economists agree that the Federal Reserve loaning money to investment banks and holding loan auctions to avoid shaming the recipients is far more important than the fact that they lowered the discount rate. Also, the repeal of the Glass-Steagall act in 1999 is widely seen as a precursor to the current credit crisis, yet it had no direct impact on interest rates.
You [MC.no.spin] write that the Fed was forced to help Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Maybe, maybe not; but let’s consider why you think the issue is important in the first place. It has no direct impact on interest rates. It just makes a source of loans, the Fed itself, available to Fannie and Freddie that they were previously denied access to. In other words, it changed the credit limits that Fannie and Freddie face, but not the rates that they must pay.