| Archives SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions; Survey USA, arguably the most accurate polling outfit this cycle, has put out two new electoral map predictions. Both show ... |
03-06-08, 07:40 PM
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#1 (permalink)
| | Professor Hobo
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Current Mood: | SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Survey USA, arguably the most accurate polling outfit this cycle, has put out two new electoral map predictions. Both show the Democrats winning. Now these maps don't mean too much this far out, but its fun to look at, and shows where each candidate needs to focus.
Obama pick ups: Nevada, New Mexico, Kansas (part), North Dakota, Iowa, Virginia
McCain pick ups: Pennsylvania, New Jersey
Clinton pick ups: Ohio, West Virginia, Florida, New Mexico, Arkansas
McCain pick ups: Washington, Oregon, Michigan, New Hampshire
I think the maps are interesting. Firstly, both show that McCain will have a very uphill fight to win in November. Secondly, it shows contrasts between the two candidates. Obama does better in the west and in traditionally "red staes", while Clinton is much better in the East and in "blue states". Thoughts?
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03-06-08, 07:54 PM
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#2 (permalink)
| | Professor Hobo
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions update
Here are the states broken down into categories.
Solid Obama--163 (eleven or more points): CA, CT, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, NY, RI, VT, WA, WI
Lean Obama--66 (six to ten points): CO, DE, MA, MN, NM, OH, OR
Toss-up--186: (five points or less): AK, FL, MI, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NC, ND, PA, TX, VA
Lean McCain--25 (six to ten points): IN, MO, MT
Solid McCain--98 (eleven or more points): AL, AZ, AR, GA, ID, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, UT, WV, WY
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Solid Clinton--77 (eleven or more points): AR, DC, IL, MA, NY, RI
Lean Clinton--126 (six to ten points): CA, CT, FL, ME, MD, OH, VT
Toss Up--135 (five points or less): DE, HI, IA, MI, MN, MO, NJ, NM, OR, PA, TN, WA, WV, WI
Lean McCain--136 (six to ten points): AL, CO, KS, KY, LA, MS, NV, NH, NC, OK, SC, TX, VA
Solid McCain--65 (eleven or more points): AK, AZ, GA, ID, IN, MT, NE, ND, SD, UT, WY |
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03-06-08, 07:58 PM
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#3 (permalink)
| | Conservative Independent
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Lean: Independent Gender:  | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Wow, why even have elections? SUSA can tell us who will win without them! |
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03-06-08, 08:22 PM
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#4 (permalink)
| | Enemy Combatant
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Here's how the InTrade markets predict the electoral map, as of March 6: ImageShack - Hosting :: 030608vy7.jpg
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Last edited by Kandahar : 03-06-08 at 08:24 PM.
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03-06-08, 08:23 PM
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#5 (permalink)
| | Slayer of the DP Newsbot
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary, is picking up red states while losing blue ones. Something is fishy here.
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03-06-08, 08:25 PM
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#6 (permalink)
| | Enemy Combatant
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Quote:
Originally Posted by danarhea What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary | Name three important issues on which they disagree, where Obama is more liberal.
Or just name three important issues on which they disagree. |
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03-06-08, 08:51 PM
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#7 (permalink)
| | Conservative Independent
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Lean: Independent Gender:  | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Quote:
Originally Posted by danarhea What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary, is picking up red states while losing blue ones. Something is fishy here. | Nothing is fishy here. This is a POLL. Remember, the REAL POLL, the one that matters, the one where EVERYONE votes rather than jsut a sample, might tell a different story. |
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03-07-08, 12:51 AM
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#8 (permalink)
| | Professor Hobo
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Quote:
Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 Nothing is fishy here. This is a POLL. Remember, the REAL POLL, the one that matters, the one where EVERYONE votes rather than jsut a sample, might tell a different story. | How do you predict the election going? |
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03-07-08, 01:32 AM
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#9 (permalink)
| | Upper West Side Jacobin
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Gender:  | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions There is NO ****ING WAY that PA and NJ will go McCain. |
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03-07-08, 02:02 AM
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#10 (permalink)
| | Professor Hobo
Join Date: Nov 2006 Last Online: 11-21-08 03:21 PM Location: Sacramento, CA
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Current Mood: | Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions Quote:
Originally Posted by new coup for you There is NO ****ING WAY that PA and NJ will go McCain. | Oh, why not? |
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