Debate Politics Forums forum
Go Back   Debate Politics Forums > Debate Politics Forum > Archives



 
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 03-06-08, 06:40 PM   #1
Rockin' In The Free World

 
the makeout hobo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Last Seen: Yesterday 07:40 PM
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 5,779
Thanks: 1,143
Thanked 1,077 Times in 730 Posts
Lean: Slightly Liberal
Gender: Male
SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Survey USA, arguably the most accurate polling outfit this cycle, has put out two new electoral map predictions. Both show the Democrats winning. Now these maps don't mean too much this far out, but its fun to look at, and shows where each candidate needs to focus.



Obama pick ups: Nevada, New Mexico, Kansas (part), North Dakota, Iowa, Virginia

McCain pick ups: Pennsylvania, New Jersey



Clinton pick ups: Ohio, West Virginia, Florida, New Mexico, Arkansas

McCain pick ups: Washington, Oregon, Michigan, New Hampshire


I think the maps are interesting. Firstly, both show that McCain will have a very uphill fight to win in November. Secondly, it shows contrasts between the two candidates. Obama does better in the west and in traditionally "red staes", while Clinton is much better in the East and in "blue states". Thoughts?
__________________
The Makeout Hobo is real, and does indeed travel around the country in his van and make out with ladies... If you meet the Makeout Hobo, it is customary to greet him with a shot of whiskey and a high five (if you are a dude) or passionate makeouts (if you are a lady).
the makeout hobo is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 06:54 PM   #2
Rockin' In The Free World

 
the makeout hobo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Last Seen: Yesterday 07:40 PM
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 5,779
Thanks: 1,143
Thanked 1,077 Times in 730 Posts
Lean: Slightly Liberal
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

update

Here are the states broken down into categories.


Solid Obama--163 (eleven or more points): CA, CT, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, NY, RI, VT, WA, WI
Lean Obama--66 (six to ten points): CO, DE, MA, MN, NM, OH, OR
Toss-up--186: (five points or less): AK, FL, MI, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NC, ND, PA, TX, VA
Lean McCain--25 (six to ten points): IN, MO, MT
Solid McCain--98 (eleven or more points): AL, AZ, AR, GA, ID, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, UT, WV, WY

-----------------------

Solid Clinton--77 (eleven or more points): AR, DC, IL, MA, NY, RI
Lean Clinton--126 (six to ten points): CA, CT, FL, ME, MD, OH, VT
Toss Up--135 (five points or less): DE, HI, IA, MI, MN, MO, NJ, NM, OR, PA, TN, WA, WV, WI
Lean McCain--136 (six to ten points): AL, CO, KS, KY, LA, MS, NV, NH, NC, OK, SC, TX, VA
Solid McCain--65 (eleven or more points): AK, AZ, GA, ID, IN, MT, NE, ND, SD, UT, WY
__________________
The Makeout Hobo is real, and does indeed travel around the country in his van and make out with ladies... If you meet the Makeout Hobo, it is customary to greet him with a shot of whiskey and a high five (if you are a dude) or passionate makeouts (if you are a lady).
the makeout hobo is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 06:58 PM   #3
Conservative Independent

 
DarkWizard12's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Last Seen: Today 01:07 PM
Location: Tyler TX
Posts: 5,572
Thanks: 2,643
Thanked 1,301 Times in 848 Posts
Lean: Independent
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Wow, why even have elections? SUSA can tell us who will win without them!
DarkWizard12 is online now  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 07:22 PM   #4
Enemy Combatant

 
Kandahar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Last Seen: 03-11-10 12:13 AM
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 14,762
Thanks: 1,384
Thanked 3,873 Times in 2,212 Posts
Lean: Liberal
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Here's how the InTrade markets predict the electoral map, as of March 6:

ImageShack - Hosting :: 030608vy7.jpg
__________________
Are you coming to bed?
I can't. This is important.
What?
Someone is WRONG on the internet! -XKCD

Last edited by Kandahar; 03-06-08 at 07:24 PM.
Kandahar is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 07:23 PM   #5
Slayer of the DP Newsbot
Dungeon Master

 
danarhea's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Last Seen: Today 03:13 AM
Location: Houston, TX
Posts: 18,227
Thanks: 3,330
Thanked 7,026 Times in 3,390 Posts
Lean: Conservative
Gender: Male

Dungeon Master:  Thank you. 
Total Awards: 1

Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary, is picking up red states while losing blue ones. Something is fishy here.
__________________
Jack Kevorkian for President's Physician: 2012

http://danarhea.blogspot.com
danarhea is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 07:25 PM   #6
Enemy Combatant

 
Kandahar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Last Seen: 03-11-10 12:13 AM
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 14,762
Thanks: 1,384
Thanked 3,873 Times in 2,212 Posts
Lean: Liberal
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by danarhea View Post
What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary
Name three important issues on which they disagree, where Obama is more liberal.

Or just name three important issues on which they disagree.
__________________
Are you coming to bed?
I can't. This is important.
What?
Someone is WRONG on the internet! -XKCD
Kandahar is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 07:51 PM   #7
Conservative Independent

 
DarkWizard12's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Last Seen: Today 01:07 PM
Location: Tyler TX
Posts: 5,572
Thanks: 2,643
Thanked 1,301 Times in 848 Posts
Lean: Independent
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by danarhea View Post
What I find ironic is that Obama, who is clearly much more Liberal than Hillary, is picking up red states while losing blue ones. Something is fishy here.
Nothing is fishy here. This is a POLL. Remember, the REAL POLL, the one that matters, the one where EVERYONE votes rather than jsut a sample, might tell a different story.
DarkWizard12 is online now  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-06-08, 11:51 PM   #8
Rockin' In The Free World

 
the makeout hobo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Last Seen: Yesterday 07:40 PM
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 5,779
Thanks: 1,143
Thanked 1,077 Times in 730 Posts
Lean: Slightly Liberal
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 View Post
Nothing is fishy here. This is a POLL. Remember, the REAL POLL, the one that matters, the one where EVERYONE votes rather than jsut a sample, might tell a different story.
How do you predict the election going?
__________________
The Makeout Hobo is real, and does indeed travel around the country in his van and make out with ladies... If you meet the Makeout Hobo, it is customary to greet him with a shot of whiskey and a high five (if you are a dude) or passionate makeouts (if you are a lady).
the makeout hobo is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-07-08, 12:32 AM   #9
Upper West Side Jacobin

 
new coup for you's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Last Seen: Yesterday 06:59 PM
Location: Philly, "The City that shoves you back!"
Posts: 10,627
Thanks: 785
Thanked 2,296 Times in 1,550 Posts
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

There is NO ****ING WAY that PA and NJ will go McCain.
__________________
And why does your tone suggest that you do not care about children?
new coup for you is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
Old 03-07-08, 01:02 AM   #10
Rockin' In The Free World

 
the makeout hobo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Last Seen: Yesterday 07:40 PM
Location: Sacramento, CA
Posts: 5,779
Thanks: 1,143
Thanked 1,077 Times in 730 Posts
Lean: Slightly Liberal
Gender: Male
Re: SUSA Releases New Electoral Map Predictions

Quote:
Originally Posted by new coup for you View Post
There is NO ****ING WAY that PA and NJ will go McCain.
Oh, why not?
__________________
The Makeout Hobo is real, and does indeed travel around the country in his van and make out with ladies... If you meet the Makeout Hobo, it is customary to greet him with a shot of whiskey and a high five (if you are a dude) or passionate makeouts (if you are a lady).
the makeout hobo is offline  
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!Reddit!Stumble this Post!Google Bookmark this Post!
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:08 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO
Debate Politics.com Copyright ©2004-2009
no new posts