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Old 10-13-09, 08:57 AM   #1
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What happened to global warming?

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What happened to global warming?

BBC NEWS | Science & Environment | What happened to global warming?

This headline may come as a bit of a surprise, so too might that fact that the warmest year recorded globally was not in 2008 or 2007, but in 1998.

But it is true. For the last 11 years we have not observed any increase in global temperatures.

And our climate models did not forecast it, even though man-made carbon dioxide, the gas thought to be responsible for warming our planet, has continued to rise.

So what on Earth is going on?

Climate change sceptics, who passionately and consistently argue that man's influence on our climate is overstated, say they saw it coming.

They argue that there are natural cycles, over which we have no control, that dictate how warm the planet is. But what is the evidence for this?



So it seems Al Gore was wrong when he stated that the issue of GW was "settled"... Sun spots, all the planets cooling, and other factors that many of us have been talking about for years, seems to be a bigger factor, than our breathing and burning of things. :shug:
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Old 10-13-09, 10:11 AM   #2
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Re: What happened to global warming?

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Originally Posted by Reverend_Hellh0und View Post
So it seems Al Gore was wrong when he stated that the issue of GW was "settled"... Sun spots, all the planets cooling, and other factors that many of us have been talking about for years, seems to be a bigger factor, than our breathing and burning of things. :shug:
There's a reason why the Watermellons* changed their mantra from "global warming" to "climate change" -- in doing so, they can blame the wealth of the world, primarily that here in the US, for any and all unusual weather, including extreme and/or out of place cold.

* Watermellons:
Green on the outside, red in the middle.
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Old 10-13-09, 10:33 AM   #3
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Re: What happened to global warming?

My thread got moved to the Enviromental forum.
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Old 10-13-09, 10:42 AM   #4
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Re: What happened to global warming?

The scientists from NASA take on the deniers dissimulation:

http://www.debatepolitics.com/Enviro...l-warming.html
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Old 10-13-09, 10:59 AM   #5
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Re: What happened to global warming?

Prediction: In about 10 years, you won't be able to find a soul in town willing to admit that they once bought into this garbage.

Throw it in the bin with SARS, Bird Flu, Y2K, and pretty soon, Swine Flu.
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Old 10-13-09, 11:35 AM   #6
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Re: What happened to global warming?

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My thread got moved to the Enviromental forum.
Because it's not BREAKING NEWS. The title of the piece makes it obvious it's a partisan opinion piece.

You want to get educated and better informed about Climate Change and Global Warming:

Climate Change: NASA's Eyes on the Earth

NASA - Climate Change Resource Reel

Climate Change | U.S. EPA

If you want to continue being a partisan hack (basically working for free for oil and energy interests) don't go to these links. The info there will make it hard for you to live with yourself.
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Old 10-13-09, 11:37 AM   #7
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Re: What happened to global warming?

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Originally Posted by hazlnut View Post
If you want to continue being a partisan hack (basically working for free for oil and energy interests) don't go to these links. The info there will make it hard for you to live with yourself.
* Watermellons:
Green on the outside, red in the middle.
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Old 10-13-09, 11:38 AM   #8
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Re: What happened to global warming?

Quote:
Originally Posted by hazlnut View Post
Because it's not BREAKING NEWS. The title of the piece makes it obvious it's a partisan opinion piece.

You want to get educated and better informed about Climate Change and Global Warming:

Climate Change: NASA's Eyes on the Earth

NASA - Climate Change Resource Reel

Climate Change | U.S. EPA

If you want to continue being a partisan hack (basically working for free for oil and energy interests) don't go to these links. The info there will make it hard for you to live with yourself.
Amen. Jeepers the pickins' must by pretty slim for the deniers, since this article has been posted 3 times already.
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Old 10-13-09, 11:41 AM   #9
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Re: What happened to global warming?

There's already a thread on this:

http://www.debatepolitics.com/Enviro...l-warming.html
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Old 10-13-09, 11:46 AM   #10
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Re: What happened to global warming?

The guy who wrote the article is an idiot. Why? Cuz he cannot even look up easy facts.

For instance, this is a crock of poop:

But it is true. For the last 11 years we have not observed any increase in global temperatures.

This is simply untrue. It's been warming. Don't fall for the lies, you are being mislead. I urge y'all to read the following:

Objection:

Global temperatures have been trending down since 1998. Global Warming is over.


Answer:

At the time, 1998 was a record high year in both the CRU and the NASA GISS analysis. In fact, it was not just a record year, it blew away the previous record by .2oC. (That previous record went all the way back to 1997, by the way!) According to NASA, it was elevated far above the trend line because 1998 was the year of the strongest El Nino of the century. Choosing that year as a starting point is a classic cherry pick and demonstrates why it is necessary to remove the very chaotic year to year variability that exists (aka: weather) by smoothing out the data. Looking at the CRU's graph below, you can see the result of that smoothing in black.




Clearly 1998 is an anomaly and the trend has not reversed. (Even the apparent levelling at the end is not the real smoothing. The smoothed trend in 2005 depends on all of its surrounding years, including a few years still in the future.) By the way, choosing the CRU analysis is also a cherry pick because NASA has 2005 breaking the 1998 record, though by very little.

Now this is an excusable mistake for average folks who do not need the rigors of statistical analysis in their day jobs, but any scientist in pretty much any field knows that you can not extract any meaningful information about trends in noisy data from single-year end points. This is why it is hard to hear a scientist make this argument and still believe that they are a voice of integrity in this debate, rather it appears more to be an abuse of the trust people would like to place in them as scientists. Bob Carter is such a voice and was the first to trot out this argument in an article in the Daily Telegraph. Since then it has echoed far and wide and has been used by Richard Lindzen as well as a host of sceptic websites.

Warming Stopped in 1998 : A Few Things Ill Considered
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