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107 Swing Counties: How does yours look?

RenoCon

RenoCon

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We are told by the WSJ and Fox News (and I suspect other MSM) that there are 107 counties in 9 states that could decide this election. Washoe County Nevada (Reno) is THE swing county in Nevada. Clark County (Las Vegas) is expected to go heavily for Obama. The rural counties will go heavily for Romney. Washoe likely will go for Romney but the differential is what is important. The differential is likely to decide who ends up with Nevada's electoral votes.

Today the Reno Gazette Journal endorsed Romney. They endorsed Obama in 2008 and typically endorse liberal candidates. The Las Vegas Review Journal, interestingly, typically endorses conservatives. I am not sure if these endorsements really make a lot of difference, but I would be interested to hear from others that are familiar with any of the 107 "swing counties" across the US as to what the impressions are in your county in general. And specifically whether your local papers are taking a position.

If you have had more than 2-3 visits to your county by Romney, Obama, Biden, or Ryan you are quite possibly in a swing county. Otherwise I am sure this can be Googled.
 
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In the CNN discussion this evening there was an indication that Colorado and Nevada are possible gets for Romney making NH possibly the deciding state.
 
Fisher said:
In the CNN discussion this evening there was an indication that Colorado and Nevada are possible gets for Romney making NH possibly the deciding state.
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The picture is changing rapidly. I don't think MSM really has the manpower to get a good feeling as to how the "swing counties" are trending. I think the folks on DP familiar with these counties would be better judges. Just curious.
 
[video]http://video.foxnews.com/v/1918251398001/107-counties-could-decide-the-election/[/video]

Just freeze the map at 28 seconds to see if your county is a "swing county."
 
Hillsborough county Florida, about as swing as it gets here. Every single election we are saturated by visits from candidates and advertisements (it seems I hear about the candidates rolling through the area on a weekly basis, if not more counting Ryan/Biden), this is ground zero of the pivotal I-4 corridor which is always a heated battleground.

I just did a quick google and pulled up a video from fox news (edit: the video posted above while i was googling lol), sure enough a bright red splotch on their graphic for this county, as well as neighboring Pinellas county, the Tampa bay area is serious battleground turf.

My one vote is probably equivalent to 500,000 or so Oklahoma votes, and maybe 2 million New York votes (yes this is deliberately a tad hyperbolic). Stupid electoral college.
 
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I'm in a swing county here in northern Virginia, loudoun. Was positive it'd go Obama in 2008....it'd definitely a toss up this year and I'm leaning towards a Romney win
 
I'm in Williamson Country, Texas.... #3 county in the nation for economic growth....
one thing we are not is a swing county... no way in hell.... this is deep GOP land 'round here.
 
Zyphlin said:
I'm in a swing county here in northern Virginia, loudoun. Was positive it'd go Obama in 2008....it'd definitely a toss up this year and I'm leaning towards a Romney win
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Are the local papers endorsing anyone? Or would this even make a difference? I often vote for whomever the local paper is not endorsing.:lol:
 
Thrilla said:
I'm in Williamson Country, Texas.... #3 county in the nation for economic growth....
one thing we are not is a swing county... no way in hell.... this is deep GOP land 'round here.
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Some people have all the luck.
 
RenoCon said:
Are the local papers endorsing anyone? Or would this even make a difference? I often vote for whomever the local paper is not endorsing.:lol:
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Dont have any real significant "local" paper for Loudoun. You do have the Washington Times and Washington Post...not sure if they've endorsed and not sure how much that'd really affect Loudoun to be honest
 
Zyphlin said:
I'm in a swing county here in northern Virginia, loudoun. Was positive it'd go Obama in 2008....it'd definitely a toss up this year and I'm leaning towards a Romney win
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That map looked likes the Charlottesville area is in play which surprises me since that has always been a liberal area of the state.
 
My effort at capping the map for you

map2.jpg
 
Fisher said:
That map looked likes the Charlottesville area is in play which surprises me since that has always been a liberal area of the state.
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Here's a list of 106 of them (LINK)

I think what you may be seeing is Buckingham looking at a map of Virginia and the look of that list
 
Thrilla said:
I'm in Williamson Country, Texas.... #3 county in the nation for economic growth....
one thing we are not is a swing county... no way in hell.... this is deep GOP land 'round here.
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And what's funny is you're right above one of the biggest liberal epicenters in the state. Such a weird mix right there along that line.
 
I drive across the state of Wisconsin just about every weekend through several of those counties highlighted on the map. During the whole bru ha ha over the Governor last summer I kept hearing that Walker was going to lose the recall election and most of the polls had it very close(within the margin of error) the whole way. This differed from what I was seeing with my own eyes, though. As I would drive along, I started to notice that there seemed to be many more campaign signs that supported Walker than his opponent(forgot his name). I first thought that this may be due to the vast rural areas on my route but then it occurred to me that farmers generally tend to support Democrats. My route also took me through several areas of strong union influence as well so I decided that my sample might be somewhat representative and I proceeded to take my own "poll".

I started counting signs. What I found was Walker was leading the "sign poll" about 60-40. He wound up winning by 7%.

Last Sunday, on the exact same route, I counted signs again. The final tally was Romney 96, Obama 41. The latest polls say this state is a toss up. I say it's a shoe in.
 
Jack Fabulous said:
I drive across the state of Wisconsin just about every weekend through several of those counties highlighted on the map. During the whole bru ha ha over the Governor last summer I kept hearing that Walker was going to lose the recall election and most of the polls had it very close(within the margin of error) the whole way. This differed from what I was seeing with my own eyes, though. As I would drive along, I started to notice that there seemed to be many more campaign signs that supported Walker than his opponent(forgot his name). I first thought that this may be due to the vast rural areas on my route but then it occurred to me that farmers generally tend to support Democrats. My route also took me through several areas of strong union influence as well so I decided that my sample might be somewhat representative and I proceeded to take my own "poll".

I started counting signs. What I found was Walker was leading the "sign poll" about 60-40. He wound up winning by 7%.

Last Sunday, on the exact same route, I counted signs again. The final tally was Romney 96, Obama 41. The latest polls say this state is a toss up. I say it's a shoe in.
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Fascinating. As they say: "all politics are local."

Certainly there must be some Liberals out there seeing a different picture...or not?
 
RenoCon said:
Fascinating. As they say: "all politics are local."

Certainly there must be some Liberals out there seeing a different picture...or not?
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I'm sure there are. The last poll I looked at for Wisconsin had it a dead heat. Based on what I'm seeing, I'm not buying it.
 
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