• This is a political forum that is non-biased/non-partisan and treats every person's position on topics equally. This debate forum is not aligned to any political party. In today's politics, many ideas are split between and even within all the political parties. Often we find ourselves agreeing on one platform but some topics break our mold. We are here to discuss them in a civil political debate. If this is your first visit to our political forums, be sure to check out the RULES. Registering for debate politics is necessary before posting. Register today to participate - it's free!
  • Welcome to our archives. No new posts are allowed here.

Romney opens up 7-point lead over Obama!

Jaaaman

Jaaaman

DP Veteran
Joined
Jul 1, 2009
Messages
297
Reaction score
194
Location
Texas, the coastal bend
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Independent
Mitt Romney's national lead over President Obama grew even more Thursday, with the latest Gallup survey showing the Republican nominee up 7 points -- with less than three weeks and just one debate left on the calendar before Election Day.
The Gallup survey, which is based on a seven-day rolling average, showed Romney leading 52-45 percent. At the start of October, he was tied with Obama at 48 percent each.
 
Gallup is becoming an outlier for some reason. All the other recent polls show a range of +2 for Romney to +3 for Obama.

2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama

I'll be curious to see Nate Silver's take on this.
 
Hell, by Nov. 6th Mitt might have a 10 point lead at this rate!

Phew!

I'm relieved.
 
AdamT said:
Gallup is becoming an outlier for some reason. All the other recent polls show a range of +2 for Romney to +3 for Obama.

2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama

I'll be curious to see Nate Silver's take on this.
Click to expand...

Sorry Adam, your guy is losing. His terrible record is catching up with him and no amount of spin and lying can stop it.
 
marsden said:
Hell, by Nov. 6th Mitt might have a 10 point lead at this rate!

Phew!

I'm relieved.
Click to expand...
I won't be relieved until Barack is packing his bags for Chicago.

Phew, look at me! I'm already referring to the President by his first name. Notice how natural it feels to just call him "Barack". :)
 
Bobcat said:
Sorry Adam, your guy is losing. His terrible record is catching up with him and no amount of spin and lying can stop it.
Click to expand...

Actually, by almost every objective measure he's winning, but I don't expect you to admit that.

Which is not to say that the race hasn't become much closer, because it obviously has. Until the first debate it looked like Obama might give him a pretty good thrashing. Now it looks like he's going to win in a nail biter.
 
Bobcat said:
Sorry Adam, your guy is losing. His terrible record is catching up with him and no amount of spin and lying can stop it.
Click to expand...

People are waking up to the fact that Team Obama is a losing proposition for all of America.
 
Jaaaman said:
Mitt Romney's national lead over President Obama grew even more Thursday, with the latest Gallup survey showing the Republican nominee up 7 points -- with less than three weeks and just one debate left on the calendar before Election Day.
The Gallup survey, which is based on a seven-day rolling average, showed Romney leading 52-45 percent. At the start of October, he was tied with Obama at 48 percent each.
Click to expand...

You can't just look at one poll to tell the state of the race. Gallup's the only poll that has either candidate up by more than 2% right now.
 
AdamT said:
Actually, but almost every objective measure he's winning, but I don't expect you to admit that.

Which is not to say that the race hasn't become much closer, because it obviously has. Until the first debate it looked like Obama might give him a pretty good thrashing. Now it looks like he's going to win in a nail biter.
Click to expand...

Romney 52, Obama 45. I know you dream of another 4 years of socialist utopia under obama, but the majority of americans do not want that. The more they see of the real candidates, the more they become pro-Romney and anti-Obama.

Why would anyone in his right mind want 4 more years like the last 4? and before you start screaming ---Bush did it. The last 4 years belong to obama and all the economic indicators are worse than when he took over.
 
Anagram said:
You can't just look at one poll to tell the state of the race. Gallup's the only poll that has either candidate up by more than 2% right now.
Click to expand...

Not true: Reuters/Ipsos has Obama up 3%.
 
AdamT said:
Not true: Reuters/Ipsos has Obama up 3%.
Click to expand...

I forgot about that one. Online polls aren't added to RCP. My point still stands though. You can't cherry pick one poll when all the others say pretty much the same thing.
 
I'm sensing a bad case of sour grapes by some in this thread. Is that just my imagination? :)
 
Jaaaman said:
I'm sensing a bad case of sour grapes by some in this thread. Is that just my imagination? :)
Click to expand...

Yes, it's just your imagination. Cherry picking the polls is silly.
 
Jaaaman said:
Yes... move the goalposts. That's the ticket. :2wave:
Click to expand...

How is that moving the goalposts? I don't see how that applies here.

It is statistically wrong to cherry pick one poll that shows something, when all the other polls show something else.
 
Looks like Mitt's got some mo now that folks are focusing.

Of course, 'binders of women' could vault Obama into the lead.:mrgreen:
 
Bobcat said:
Sorry Adam, your guy is losing. His terrible record is catching up with him and no amount of spin and lying can stop it.
Click to expand...

Popular vote, Bobcat, popular vote. Until you see movement in the states as a whole, no go.
 
AdamT said:
Gallup is becoming an outlier for some reason. All the other recent polls show a range of +2 for Romney to +3 for Obama.

2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama

I'll be curious to see Nate Silver's take on this.
Click to expand...

It's rather interesting because for a while Gallup's averages seemed to have Obama in the lead higher than other polls.
 
Erod said:
And now RCP has Romney up in the electoral count, 206-201.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map
Click to expand...

I'm pissed because I was going to thank you for showing that, and for some reason the little "like' thing wasn't popping up. I never thought I'd see that change, because for the longest time it's been the uphill battle for Romney. Changes ahoy. Now the race is more interesting!
 
Fiddytree said:
It's rather interesting because for a while Gallup's averages seemed to have Obama in the lead higher than other polls.
Click to expand...

When they changed to the likely voter model it benefited Romney. It's weird though, to the extent that it did. Even as all the other likely voter polls settled down in the last week, Rasmussen, PPP, Reuters, ABC/Washington Post, etc, Gallup's has continued to increase Romney's lead.
 
If he truly has a 7 point lead (which I doubt very seriously) it is actually bad news for Romney as he would lose momentum going forward and it would be the wake up call for the lackluster democratic GOTV efforts thus far.
 
Fiddytree said:
Popular vote, Bobcat, popular vote. Until you see movement in the states as a whole, no go.
Click to expand...

I agree, the election will come down to a few counties in a couple of states. But the trends in the swing states are all moving towards Romney at the moment.
 
Fisher said:
If he truly has a 7 point lead (which I doubt very seriously) it is actually bad news for Romney as he would lose momentum going forward and it would be the wake up call for the lackluster democratic GOTV efforts thus far.
Click to expand...

Right, they will get Acorn out there to buy votes, register dead people, and stuff the ballot boxes with fraudulent absentee ballots.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom