Re: Not one McCain voter will vote for Obama.. so where will Obama get the votes? [W:
Lets think about this...
Not one McCain voter will vote for Obama...
Obama will not get the turnout of the African American Community and some will quietly vote for Romney
Latin voters will not support Obama more this time, between the abortion issue and the economy not one more latin vote will go to Obama, the attack on the church values was a mistake... he will get no more then last election and much less
Jewish voters will and are turning on Obama,period, Obama will lose HALF of those votes this time if not more..
Christian block voters... thats in Romney column..
Independants?? if he gets 50% id be shocked.. that wont happen, history shows they break for the challenger
Kids voting, who knows, my gut says they will not show up this time, and Obama will not get the percentage he got last ime...
Military vote.. thats gone to Romney...
so where is Obama getting his votes needed to beat Romney? Romney starts with every Mccain voter out of the gate.. Obama can only lose voters from last time, he cant get more then he did last time..
I ask the Obamabots here to refute this and show how this is incorrect...
1) Just because a McCain voter won't vote for Obama doesn't mean a McCain voter will vote for Romney.
2) The African-American community is a diverse as any other community. While they may not vote for Obama or Romney based on race, they will certainly vote for either candidate based on any number of other issues. And there are some aspects of Romney that African-Americans don't support.
3) Not every member of the Latin American community is religious, and so I don't really see them voting based on religious issues. Rather, I think they are more likely to vote their economic self-interests and on immigration reform. Which puts them much more in Obama's camp than in Romney's.
4) Obama is quite likely to lose Jewish voters, mostly because of Netanyahu's hostile relationship towards him. But, then again, I doubt that Arab-Americans will vote for Romney. I'm pretty sure that Arab-American voters will be likely to vote for Obama considering how he provided support in Libya, as well as supporting the Arab Spring overall. Then again, his use of drone strikes is quite contentious. So we'll see.
5) Except when the challenger pursues polices that are worse than the incumbent.
6) I think that the youth vote has much more in common with Obama than Romney, so it all depends on whether they show up to the voter booth or not.
7) That's not necessarily so. Ron Paul had a number of supporters in the military who are against foreign intervention and want to withdraw military from around the world. Considering how Romney is agitating for war with Iran in support of Israel, as well as other saber-rattling in the Middle East, Romney getting the support of the military is not a lock. Besides, the military will need the support of various government programs which means continued government spending. If Romney is against tax increases, military personnel won't get such support.
8) Again, Romney doesn't start with every McCain supporter out the gate. McCain was a rather moderate Republican in 2000 and 2004. In fact, he was so moderate that he wanted to nominate Joseph Leiberman, a former conservative Democrat turned Independent, as his Vice President and bring the country together under his administration. It was only after leaks of his plan got out to the GOP leadership that he changed his mind, since he would lose support of the conservative base. This was why he nominated Sarah Palin and moved hard to the right.
So I seriously doubt that all those moderate Republicans will automatically support Romney since he has also gone to the right. It is just as possible that all those moderate Republicans will support Obama instead.