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After Burst of Media Attention, Ryan's Favorables see...... an 11 point climb....

cpwill

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Among Likely Voters, mind you.

Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan’s favorables are up after the first blush of national media exposure following Mitt Romney’s selection of him as his vice presidential running mate. But as is generally the case with running mates, Ryan gives only a slight boost to Romney.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters now have a favorable opinion of Ryan, while 32% view him unfavorably. This includes 29% with a Very Favorable view of Romney’s vice presidential pick and 13% with a Very Unfavorable one. Only 13% are now unfamiliar with Ryan, and five percent (5%) are not sure about him. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Just prior to being picked as Romney’s running mate, only 39% viewed Ryan favorably, while 25% held an unfavorable opinion of him.

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters think Romney made the right choice when he chose Ryan to be his running mate. Twenty-two percent (22%) disagree and think it was a bad choice. A sizable 35% aren’t sure.

But 36% now say they are more likely to vote for Romney with Ryan as his running mate. Twenty-nine percent (29%) say they are less likely to vote for the Republican, while just as many (30%) say the vice presidential selection has no impact on their vote....

Predictably, there are sharp partisan differences of opinion on most questions related to Ryan. Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans view Ryan favorably, and 72% think Romney made a good choice in picking him as his running mate. Fifty-four percent (54%) of Democrats give Ryan unfavorable marks, and only 18% view Romney’s selection as a good one.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Ryan’s favorables have risen from 36% in July to 50% now. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of unaffiliated voters are more likely to vote for Romney as a result of the Ryan pick versus 29% who are less likely to do so...


If anyone is wondering why we are seeing this burst of nonsense stories (Ryan sold some stocks! Ryan passed on some constituent advocacy linked to the stimulus! Ryan voted for the same bailouts that the President did!).... this is why :).
 
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I'm not surprised that Ryan's approval grows as people get to know him, but the only poll that really counts is the one in November.
 
Among Likely Voters, mind you.




If anyone is wondering why we are seeing this burst of nonsense stories (Ryan sold some stocks! Ryan passed on some constituent advocacy linked to the stimulus! Ryan voted for the same bailouts that the President did!).... this is why :).

In Picking Ryan, Romney Makes an All-In Move - NYTimes.com

Likewise, polls conducted on the personal favorability of a new vice-presidential candidate are typically strong at first, with the public initially saying they like the candidate by two to one or three to one. Mr. Ryan’s favorability numbers are only slightly better than break even.

Ryan is now, at his probably most positive, about 1.5 to 1 favorable.
 
Are the users in here who thought Ryan was a horrible pick, going to admit they were wrong?

Ryan is a good pick, he inspired the base, he is intelligent and he got Democrats to talk about the economy. Just like Romney wanted.
 
Are the users in here who thought Ryan was a horrible pick, going to admit they were wrong?

a small, mean, part of me is really looking forward - should he win - to pointing that out to some of the posters here :)
 
Are the users in here who thought Ryan was a horrible pick, going to admit they were wrong?

Ryan is a good pick, he inspired the base, he is intelligent and he got Democrats to talk about the economy. Just like Romney wanted.

The more I think about it, and the more the numbers roll in, the worse the pick looks. I mean a really terrible pick. It's bad for Romney and it's even worse for down-ticket Republicans who've been put in the position of having to throw Romney/Ryan under the bus to save their own necks. Romney got one of the smalestl bumps in recent memory from the pick, and it has turned the focus of the race onto Medicare, which is not a winning issue for Republicans; never has been and never will be. Not as crazy a pick as Palin, but in the end it may be even more damaging.
 
I'm not surprised that Ryan's approval grows as people get to know him, but the only poll that really counts is the one in November.

True and let us not forget Sarah Palin was über popular till people started to get to know her..to soon to tell.
 
True and let us not forget Sarah Palin was über popular till people started to get to know her..to soon to tell.

I'm not going to say Ryan's current reputation with moderates is spectacularly high, but he has received far more national attention than Palin had years prior to selection. It will be a different barometer with his campaign.
 
I think very few people even know who Paul Ryan is at this point. But he makes a very good television appearance, he is articulate, believable, personable, and likable. And as far as intelligence and political savvy, he is a very strong choice. He has very high favorables in his home state and I can't see how he could possibly hurt the GOP ticket and, if anybody is really paying attention, he should help it.
 
The more I think about it, and the more the numbers roll in, the worse the pick looks. I mean a really terrible pick. It's bad for Romney and it's even worse for down-ticket Republicans who've been put in the position of having to throw Romney/Ryan under the bus to save their own necks. Romney got one of the smalestl bumps in recent memory from the pick, and it has turned the focus of the race onto Medicare, which is not a winning issue for Republicans; never has been and never will be. Not as crazy a pick as Palin, but in the end it may be even more damaging.
You do realize that John Kerry lost votes after picking John Edwards, Neither Bush, Gore or Dole got anything from picking Cheney, Gonzales and Kemp, and Obama got virtually nothing from picking Joe Biden, right? Even Palin which seemed like a great pick in the beginning, only helped McCain by 3% and then he got crushed when she had her first interview.

Romney seems to have gained 1-3% points of picking Ryan. He is in an intelligent man, so he won't mess up like Palin. If he was such a horrible pick, then Romney should be losing not gaining votes by now. Also take a look at the public debate. It does not seem like Democrats are able to talk about how horrible he is. Some recent headlines from CNN are
- Why Ryan is not bad for women
- Ryan addresses Medicare criticisms, mom campaigns Saturday
- Ryan can make Romney win
- More Ryan fallout: CNN moves Wisconsin to 'toss up state'

So what is the most recent attack against Ryan, it is "Ryan Backed Stimulus Spending in 2002". Oh noes, we already got a major flip flopper on the top of the ticket. I don't think voters care.

What they would have talked about if Ryan wasn't picked was Romney's tax records and Bain. That is devestating for Romney as even Republicans agree that he should release his tax records. You may disagree with the message, and btw I do not support the Ryan's plan. But you got to admit Ryan was a pretty good pick.
 
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a small, mean, part of me is really looking forward - should he win - to pointing that out to some of the posters here :)

I have no problem admitting im wrong and I do that often...what remains to be seen is if YOU can :)
 
The more I think about it, and the more the numbers roll in, the worse the pick looks. I mean a really terrible pick. It's bad for Romney and it's even worse for down-ticket Republicans who've been put in the position of having to throw Romney/Ryan under the bus to save their own necks. Romney got one of the smalestl bumps in recent memory from the pick, and it has turned the focus of the race onto Medicare, which is not a winning issue for Republicans; never has been and never will be. Not as crazy a pick as Palin, but in the end it may be even more damaging.

only in the fantasy parallel universe that you live in. Focusing on medicare is a win for the GOP, pointing out how obama stole 700B from medicare is a win for the GOP, pointing out that obama has no plan is a win for the GOP, letting Biden speak is a win for the GOP, watching obama continue to lie is a win for the GOP. Unfortunately for you dem/libs, the american voters are not as stupid as you think they are.
 
Unfortunately for you dem/libs, the american voters are not as stupid as you think they are.

That's amusing because in another thread you say that Romney shouldn't release his tax records because the Dems would misuse the information and so call "make up lies". If the American people aren't stupid, what do you and Romney have to fear about releasing tax records? And no, I'm still not for Romney releasing his records.

Just saying your comments and logic are bouncing all over the place.
 
That's amusing because in another thread you say that Romney shouldn't release his tax records because the Dems would misuse the information and so call "make up lies". If the American people aren't stupid, what do you and Romney have to fear about releasing tax records? And no, I'm still not for Romney releasing his records.

Just saying your comments and logic are bouncing all over the place.

not at all, I am completely consistent. I didn't say that the voters would buy into the lies about Romney's taxes, I said that the dems and the media would focus the debate on that and away from obama's horrible record of failure as president and his unknown past. But you and I both know that is the dem plan, stay away from obama's record and focus or personal attacks and slander---------its the chicago way, and obama is a product of the chicago way.

thats the way he has won every election, personal destruction, slander, and lies.
 
not at all, I am completely consistent. I didn't say that the voters would buy into the lies about Romney's taxes, I said that the dems and the media would focus the debate on that and away from obama's horrible record of failure as president and his unknown past. But you and I both know that is the dem plan, stay away from obama's record and focus or personal attacks and slander---------its the chicago way, and obama is a product of the chicago way.

thats the way he has won every election, personal destruction, slander, and lies.

The focus is already on Romney's tax returns, so whether he releases it or not that's the focus. So if the people aren't stupid, there should be no problem releasing them then right? Afterall, the focus is already on it.
 
The only cool thing about Paul Ryan is that he went to the same high school as me, and grew up in the same neighborhood as me. As far as anything else, he's a true radical partisan. Willing to throw the elderly and the poor under the buss to pay for the mistakes the richest among us caused.
 
Romney seems to have gained 1-3% points of picking Ryan. He is in an intelligent man, so he won't mess up like Palin. If he was such a horrible pick, then Romney should be losing not gaining votes by now.

It's a different situation than in 2004 and 2008. This election is the GOPs to lose. Given the so called "abysmal" support the GOP claims the president has, he is neck and neck with Romney for the most part right now. Obama should be 25% if what the GOP says is true, so the fact the GOP couldn't pick a nominee that would get 60% or more right now really shows how lousy of a pick Romney is.
 
The focus is already on Romney's tax returns, so whether he releases it or not that's the focus. So if the people aren't stupid, there should be no problem releasing them then right? Afterall, the focus is already on it.

geez man, come on, think. I can see the lead story on MSNBC the day after Romney released his 2008 return "on line 62 page 211 Romney took a deduction for over the counter advil for $17.00, why would a rich guy need to deduct advil, this is a terrible abuse, Romney is a terrible person, DOJ must investigate this"

thats the kind of crap that would dominate the debate-------and that is exactly what the dems want---------AND YOU KNOW IT.
 
I have no problem admitting im wrong and I do that often...what remains to be seen is if YOU can :)

well we will see - demonstrating whether or not Ryan dragged Romney down in the event of a Romney loss ought to actually be pretty easy.
 
geez man, come on, think. I can see the lead story on MSNBC the day after Romney released his 2008 return "on line 62 page 211 Romney took a deduction for over the counter advil for $17.00, why would a rich guy need to deduct advil, this is a terrible abuse, Romney is a terrible person, DOJ must investigate this"

thats the kind of crap that would dominate the debate-------and that is exactly what the dems want---------AND YOU KNOW IT.

So instead the story is "Romney refuses to release tax records, what is he hiding?". Sorry, but that story line is going to carry more weight IMO and from the look of things it's working.

The unknown has ALWAYS scared people more than the known. This is human nature. The fact people "don't know" what's in Romney's tax records is more scary to them than knowing.

Myself, I don't care about the records and I imagine that Romney's base and some others don't either. But for the rest, it will make a difference for him not releasing them versus releasing them.

My prediction is that closer to the election he will release them because (as you said) Romney isn't dumb and realizes as well that not releasing them will be worse.
 
It's a different situation than in 2004 and 2008. This election is the GOPs to lose. Given the so called "abysmal" support the GOP claims the president has, he is neck and neck with Romney for the most part right now. Obama should be 25% if what the GOP says is true, so the fact the GOP couldn't pick a nominee that would get 60% or more right now really shows how lousy of a pick Romney is.

Romney/Ryan is the best ticket that the GOP had this year. At this stage an incumbent should be way ahead, but RR has a slight lead. Looks bad for obama with two months and 4 debates to go.

on the topic of debates, you libs always yell about everything being fair. Do you think its fair the liberals will moderate all of the debates?
 
So instead the story is "Romney refuses to release tax records, what is he hiding?". Sorry, but that story line is going to carry more weight IMO and from the look of things it's working.

The unknown has ALWAYS scared people more than the known. This is human nature. The fact people "don't know" what's in Romney's tax records is more scary to them than knowing.

Myself, I don't care about the records and I imagine that Romney's base and some others don't either. But for the rest, it will make a difference for him not releasing them versus releasing them.

My prediction is that closer to the election he will release them because (as you said) Romney isn't dumb and realizes as well that not releasing them will be worse.

he has said he will release 2011 by oct 15. I don't expect any more.
 
he has said he will release 2011 by oct 15. I don't expect any more.

I predict he will release at a minimum 5 years. It will be closer to the election though IMO.
 
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