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Obama Winning Investors by 49%-38% Against Romney in Poll

OTOH, if this plus the "oh my gosh Romney bullied a kid in high school" piece is the best that the campaign is going to be able to dig up...


yeah, this election might be easier than I initially thought.
 
AdamT said:
How to explain the disconnect between U.S. and non-U.S. investors? IMO, investors in general understand that Obama would be better for the US economy, but US investors are more concerned with the possibility of their own taxes going up than they are with the health of the over all economy.
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For Republicans, there is a good side to Obama winning reelection.
If Obama leads Romney by 10 or more points in late October, independents who want gridlock vote GOP in Congressional races.
If Obama is president in 2014, Republicans definitely win the midterms and have solid control of Congress.
If Romney wins this November, he will be the GOP nominee in 2016. If Romney loses this year, GOP voters can nominate a true conservative in 2016.
 
sangha said:
It's widespread approval of Obama over Romney. If his support was weak or limited, he wouldn't be ahead of Romney.


And it's an 11 point spread, which is almost 1/3 of Romney's support
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yeah sure - of a selected pool of individuals:
according to the survey of 1,253 Bloomberg customers, who are investors, analysts or traders.
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And a portion are US citizens - and others are not . . . it's rather vague and really isn't beneficial to the discussion of the subject as a result.
 
Aunt Spiker said:
yeah sure - of a selected pool of individuals:

And a portion are US citizens - and others are not . . . it's rather vague and really isn't beneficial to the discussion of the subject as a result.
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I'll give you that it is vague.
 
sangha said:
I'll give you that it is vague.
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Yeah - it's haulting progress on this discussion. . . if we knew more about these individuals - etc - their nations, their own personal business endeavours we'd be able to go forward.

I hate crap statistics! Debate killers.
 
Aunt Spiker said:
Yeah - it's haulting progress on this discussion. . . if we knew more about these individuals - etc - their nations, their own personal business endeavours we'd be able to go forward.

I hate crap statistics! Debate killers.
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The point of statistics is to smooth out these sorts of individual factors. You're rather missing the point ... or rather, you don't want to acknowledge the point because it runs counter to your politics, so you're just fishing for reasons to discredit it.
 
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there is no point. this is about as accurate and meaningful as the viewer polls from Fox News Special Reports.
 
cpwill said:
there is no point. this is about as accurate and meaningful as the viewer polls from Fox News Special Reports.
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The only poll that matters is the one on election day.

That said though, you gotta be pretty sure of your belief if you're willing to throw money at a trading system like Intratrade.
 
AdamT said:
The point of statistics is to smooth out these sorts of individual factors. You're rather missing the point ... or rather, you don't want to acknowledge the point because it runs counter to your politics, so you're just fishing for reasons to discredit it.
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When it comes to annonymous polling to gain an idea of where values are you have to take a wide, varied pool of individuals in your survey/questionaire . . . some methods are adequately reflective of alarger populous: others aren't.

If you only question your customers at your business - you're not getting a large reliable picture concerning the entire industry that you're in.
 
Aunt Spiker said:
When it comes to annonymous polling to gain an idea of where values are you have to take a wide, varied pool of individuals in your survey/questionaire . . . some methods are adequately reflective of alarger populous: others aren't.

If you only question your customers at your business - you're not getting a large reliable picture concerning the entire industry that you're in.
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True, but Bloomberg isn't exactly the local Harry's Hardware. It's a service subscribed to by the vast majority of traders.
 
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