So who's everyone think is most likely not going to lead us to war? I think Ron Paul!

AdamT said:

Specifically, all of them. Certainly Israel would immediately lose credibility without the implied threat of our military support. Taiwan would be far more vulnerable than they are. Japan would be forced to pay for their own defense, thus reducing the efficacy of our relationship with them. Iran would certainly feel much less constrained in its effort to obtain nuclear weapons, and to exert its influence in Iraq and Lebanon. NATO countries, like Japan, would be forced to spend much more on their own defense, and thus we would lose considerable leverage there. North Korea could be expected to increase its aggression and resume development of nuclear weapons. Then there are unpredictable hot spots like Libya, Kuwait, or Serbia that would go undefended. Pick a place.

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