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Originally Posted by A_Wise_Fool  I quoted it in my post the very first time I used it. Did you think I dishonestly just made it up?
ONLY because you said please. Im getting quite sick of this lackluster effort you are giving my posts and was about to quit wasting my time. Powerball - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So you do know how probability works. I commend you. But you had the facts wrong. It's five out of 55 and one powerball out of 42, not 99 like you thought.
It comes out to one in 150 million or so.
I'm hoping you didn't actually know this and then tried to slip it by me. |
I was under the impression that it was over 99 numbers - there was no intention of "slipping it by".
So re-entering the figures what we get is 1/55*1/54*1/53*1/52*1/51*1/42 = 5.7 x 10^-11
So ten times less than the probability I calculated out before.
So as I said, do the math.
I don't think you are making it up more so that I think you are academically lazy - as I had demonstrated by too lazily looking up the actual values of a power ball lottery range.
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Originally Posted by A_Wise_Fool It said one in a trillion, meaning the odds. Meaning on average, you need a trillion attempts, or reproductions to get somthing as complicated as a net metabolism ability.
Now an attempt/reproduction itself is not an intermediate. Not that it matters. |
Actually yes it does matter. It's the very core of the problem because you are equating the probability of an intermediate appearing to actually equate to the number of intermediates. Two distinctly different situations.