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Originally Posted by Tashah  With a huge weapons inventory and aircraft carriers, any US preemptive strike on Iran would be both wide and sustained. The US would have sufficient time to analyze BDA and strike targets two or even three times if necessary. An IAF operation would be quite different. In and out as quickly as possible and with all munitions expended (Winchester).
Beyond that, you are not thinking in the loop. You are analyzing this from an exterior and removed position. The powers that be are very aware that nothing in this is guaranteed. But even a partial success would be considered better than playing ostrich.
Ordinary Iranian “civilians” are forbidden access to the state reservations that host critical nuclear facilities. Everyone within has been vetted by the state and the military.
Israel would consider a 3 year setback as a success.
Perhaps you are right. Perhaps it is all theater. But then again, perhaps Iraq and Syria also thought likewise.
Anyway, this is more of a nuts and bolts type of thread rather than a political dissection or a morality play. As recently as a few months ago, I didn't believe that the IAF could orchestrate and complete such an attack. As I delve ever deeper into it though, I am reluctantly beginning to change my viewpoint. |
You have localised the plants where they are building their nukes? I believed they had plenty of them and that they were well hidden.
But let's admit the IAF can destroy all of them and delay the building of the nukes for 3 years. So what? Is that a long term solution? Won't it make the things even worse?
Don't you believe that it will make the Iranians swallow more easily Amajinedjad's propaganda about "zionist agressors"? As what you plan is an unprovoked attack, you are going to look like the evil Jews supported by those evil Westerners who want to control the M/E.
That is going to give a lot of arguments to Amadinedjad, the Iranians are going to be more united and support him more, and instead of staying at power a few more years and then let its country democratize slowly (there are many moderate Iranians), you are going to give a lot of credit to the radical ones and they will stay much longer in the governent.